Best MLB prop bets April 29: Back hitters Raleigh and Albies, fade Boston’s Crochet

MLB prop bets

It’s a busy Tuesday night in MLB with all 30 teams scheduled to play, and I have three prop picks for the action.

The pregame narrative: Cal Raleigh leads MLB in homers and is in a great spot to continue his damage tonight. Garrett Crochet has a juicy matchup vs. the Toronto Blue Jays, but I think he’s fade-worthy on a certain prop.

Check out the best MLB prop bets for April 29, which includes a play on Ozzie Albies.

MLB prop bets

Best bet: Raleigh over 1.5 total bases (+100)

Raleigh is top 10 in the majors in total bases and slugging to accompany his MLB-best 10 homers. 

The switch-hitting catcher is a power bat with a lot of swing and miss who does his damage vs. right-handed pitching. 

And that’s exactly why I like him to deliver on this prop tonight. 

Raleigh’s Seattle Mariners get Los Angeles Angels starter Jack Kochanowicz, a righty with a 5.47 ERA and 13 Ks over five starts. 

Kochanowicz’s 11.4 K% is the third-lowest mark among pitchers (minimum 20 innings).

Lefties are hitting him hard, and Kochanowicz has pitched extra poorly on the road, where he’ll be tonight (though at pitcher-friendly T-Mobile Park). 

  • LHBs vs. Kochanowicz: .321/.351/.566
  • Raleigh vs. RHPs: .247/.375/.603

Kochanowicz’s OPS against is nearly 200 points higher vs. LHBs, while Raleigh’s OPS is nearly 300 points higher vs. righties.

Key stat: Raleigh is 6-4 against this line in his last 10 games.

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Best MLB picks

Albies over 0.5 RBI (+118): Good luck finding many playable prices for Atlanta Braves hitters. 

Atlanta gets German Marquez and the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field.

The righty carries a 9.30 ERA and 2.02 WHIP into the outing. Here’s what he’s done after spinning six scoreless frames in his season debut: 

  • April 24 vs. KC: 4 IP, 8 H, 6 R, 3 BB, 3 K
  • April 16 vs. LAD: 0.2 IP, 6 H, 7 R, 1 BB, 1 K
  • April 11 vs. SD: 4.2 IP, 7 H, 6 R, 1 BB, 3 K
  • April 5 vs. ATH: 5 IP, 5 H, 4 R, 6 BB, 3 K 

Marquez runs into an Atlanta team that’s hot following a horrific 0-7 start.

The Braves are 8-2 in their last 10, scoring more than five runs six times over that stretch. 

Albies has been hitting fifth behind threats Austin Riley, Marcell Ozuna and Matt Olson.

The switch-hitter has been a disappointment but has been putting the ball in play (career-low K rate) and should have chances to deliver with those guys in front of him.

Crochet under 17.5 outs (+114): I think we’re staring down strong value here.

I like the matchup for Crochet and don’t expect the Toronto Blue Jays to bash him, but I do expect them to make things difficult.

Toronto hasn’t been hitting and ranks 26th in runs per game, but it has strong numbers vs. left-handers and Crochet has been wild.

Toronto’s MLB ranks vs. LHPs:

  • OBP: 1st
  • wRC+: 3rd
  • BB%: 4th
  • K%: 26th

The Jays are a tough team to K but Crochet is elite at missing bats. If he does have success in that department, it’s liable to drive up his pitch count.

His control problems could, too. Crochet walked four over 5.2 innings when he saw Toronto earlier this month and issued five walks in his last start.

Boston was off Monday and needed little work out of its bullpen over the weekend, so the group should be well-rested.

MLB prop picks made at 12:39 p.m. ET on 04/29/2025.

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Chris joined NorthStar Gaming from Covers.com where he was a publishing editor and wrote betting content. Before that, he was the sports editor at VICE Canada, worked for theScore and covered the Blue Jays for MLB.com. In addition to filling out the lineup card each day for the editorial team, Chris writes frequently himself, primarily on the NBA and MLB.