The Cleveland Cavaliers look to sweep the Miami Heat on Monday.
The pregame narrative: Cleveland has been the class of the Eastern Conference all season, and that’s shown through three games against Miami. I expect the Cavaliers to close out the series tonight, and have prop bets on two sharpshooters, Tyler Herro and Max Strus.
Check out my Cavaliers vs. Heat playoff SGP predictions for Game 4 on April 28.
Cavaliers vs. Heat predictions
Parlay: Cavaliers -4.5 | Strus 2+ threes | Herro over 23.5 points (+300)
Cavaliers -4.5 (-240): The Cavaliers posted an East-best 64 wins during the regular season and haven’t missed a beat in the playoffs.
They’ve won each game by at least nine points and secured a 37-point blowout on the road in Game 3.
I expect a better effort from Miami with its season on the line, but Cleveland should cover this spread comfortably.
- The Cavs had the third-best road net rating (+7.0) in the NBA this season.
- Cleveland is 21-14 ATS as a road favourite, winning those games by an average of 10.0 points.
- They have covered this number in five straight games vs. Miami dating back to the regular season.
Get the brooms ready, because this one should be over tonight.
NBA SGP legs
Strus 2+ threes (-220): Strus is the kind of role player that can help a team win a championship. He plays solid defensive minutes, hits his shots and can chip in offensively.
Take a look at what he’s done this series:
- Game 1: 21 mins, 9 pts (3-for-5 from deep)
- Game 2: 26 mins, 14 pts (4-for-8 from deep)
- Game 3: 31 mins, 18 pts (4-for-9 from deep)
Strus has attempted 26 shots this postseason, and 22 of them have been from 3-point land. He’s cashed 11 of those for an impressive 50.0% rate.
The 29-year-old has reached this milestone in six straight games and eight of his last 10. In a game with blowout potential, I expect the backup guard to get plenty of looks.
Herro over 23.5 points (-139): Cleveland’s Darius Garland was asked what the key to this series is following Game 2, and he responded: “Pick on Tyler Herro.”
In the next game, Herro shot 5-of-13 from the field and scored 13 points.
I’m expecting a response from Miami’s top dog, and not just because of a bruised ego.
Herro scored 33 points in Game 2 and had fallen just short of this line with 21 in the series opener.
He dropped 30 and 38 points in the Heat’s two play-in games and had scored at least 20 points in 14 straight games before Saturday’s stinker.
Cleveland is a great defensive team, but Herro has to shoot if Miami wants to win this contest. I think the Heat will ultimately fall short, but I believe Herro can have a solid performance.
Cavaliers vs. Heat predictions made at 9:40 a.m. ET 04/28/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.