Derrick White and Damian Lillard headline Sunday’s NBA prop bets.
The pregame narrative: White should have ample opportunities to rack up assists with fellow guard Jrue Holiday sidelined. Lillard, meanwhile, has had a tough run since returning from injury and is a solid buy-low candidate. A pick on Detroit’s Dennis Schroder rounds out my plays
Check out the best NBA prop bets for first-round playoff action on April 27.
NBA prop bets
Best Bet: White over 4.5 assists (-125)
White is best known for his 3-point shooting, but the veteran guard can really do it all.
This season, he averaged 4.8 assists and 4.5 rebounds per game while playing excellent defence. On Sunday, I want to tap into his abilities as a passer against the Orlando Magic.
White has cleared this line in consecutive games, and 11 of his past 13 dating to the regular season.
Holiday, much like White, provides secondary production while playing top-tier defence. He was leading Boston with 9.5 potential assists per game this postseason, and is out with a hamstring injury on Sunday.
That means White should have increased opportunities as a passer.
White averaged 5.4 assists in 19 games without Holiday this season, clearing this line 11 times. He also landed on exactly four assists four times.
Key stat: White has cleared this total in four straight games without Holiday.
Best NBA picks
Lillard over 2.5 threes (-125): Lillard has struggled to find his shooting stroke through two appearances this postseason, going a combined 3-of-16 from deep against the Indiana Pacers.
But he’s still firing with volume, and I’m hoping the rust from a months-long absence will be shaken off for a pivotal Game 4 on Sunday.
Lillard has always been a clutch playoff performer, averaging 3.3 threes in the postseason on 9.0 attempts per game (36.8%).
Last year, he played four playoff games against the Pacers and cleared this line in each of them, averaging 5.0 threes on 41.7% shooting.
If the Milwaukee Bucks want any chance of advancing to the second round, they’ll need Lillard to heat up. Doc Rivers should give him the green light to shoot his way out of this mini-slump.
Schroder over 15.5 points and assists (-118): Schroder cleared this mark on points alone in his last two games, and has received steady minutes off the bench all series.
- Game 1: 8 points, 3 assists, 26 minutes
- Game 2: 20 points, 3 assists, 29 minutes
- Game 3: 18 points, 2 assists, 30 minutes
The journeyman point guard has boatloads of postseason experience and should feature heavily in the frontcourt for J.B. Bickerstaff again on Sunday.
New York allowed the fifth-most PPG to point guards and the 12th-most PPG to shooting guards this season, according to Fantasy Pros.
Schroder should be able to score, and I also expect him to chip in as a passer. After all, his 5.3 assists per game mark was the second highest on the Pistons during the regular season behind Cade Cunningham.
NBA prop picks made at 9:41 a.m. ET on 04/27/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.