After a dominant win last time out, the Los Angeles Clippers look to push Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets to the brink of elimination.
The pregame narrative: I like Jokic to make noise from 3-point range tonight, but I’m still expecting the Clippers to come out on top. Also, James Harden looks like a solid pick to stay hot beyond the arc.
Check out my Nuggets vs. Clippers playoff SGP predictions for Game 4 on Saturday, April 26.
Nuggets vs. Clippers predictions
Parlay: Clippers -6 | Jokic 2+ threes | Harden 3+ threes (+440)
Clippers -6 (-114): Game 3 was a thorough beatdown in the Clippers’ favour. I think we could be in for a repeat in Game 4.
L.A. won every quarter en route to a 117-83 victory. I wouldn’t count on a margin that sizeable tonight, but a fairly comfortable win would make perfect sense.
- In their first season at Intuit Dome, the Clippers are 31-11 straight up and 29-13 ATS.
- L.A. is 3-0 ATS so far in this series — and 7-2 ATS in its past nine games overall.
Thursday’s home dominance was just an extension of what the Clips accomplished to close out the regular season.
From March 1 through the end of the year, they went 11-1 at home and posted an NBA-best +15.4 net rating.
NBA SGP legs
Jokic 2+ threes (-159): Michael Porter Jr. (shoulder) is questionable to play tonight, which means other Denver shooters might have to pick up the slack from 3-point range.
Enter Jokic, who’s enjoyed a career year from beyond the arc. During the regular season, he averaged 2.0 triples on 41.7 3PT%.
The three-time MVP is 18-for-36 (50.0%) from beyond the arc against the Clippers this season, cashing this bet in five of six games.
Jokic only attempted three 3s last time out; fortunately, he sank two of them.
I’m hoping an uptick in shot volume tonight makes this less of a white-knuckled play.
Harden 3+ threes (-150): This prop is on the cusp of being played as a solo wager, if you’re okay with the extra juice.
It also lifts this SGP from +225 to +440, which I find quite compelling.
- Harden posted a mediocre 35.2 3PT% this season, but his shot volume was high. He averaged 3.0 threes on 8.5 attempts.
- In this series, Harden is 3-0 against this milestone prop, shooting 11-for-28 (39.3%) beyond the arc.
Denver allowed the 10th-most attempted 3s to opponents during the regular season. So hopefully Harden continues getting ample shots up.
Nuggets vs. Clippers predictions made at 12:10 p.m. ET 04/26/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.