The Round of 64 at the Madrid Open begins on Friday, and I have picks for both Canadians in action.
The pregame narrative: Felix Auger-Aliassime is the first to play in the morning and I’m fading him based on a tough opponent as well as recent results. Later on, I’ll take a shot on Bianca Andreescu to keep her match competitive.
Check out my top Madrid Open predictions for April 25.
Madrid Open predictions
Best Bet: Cerundolo +1.5 sets (+110)
This is a partial fade against Auger-Aliassime, who can still win this match while cashing this wager.
Cerundolo is a specialist on clay courts. Of his 509 career contests, 382 have been played on clay, where he holds a strong 267-115 record (70.0% win rate).
In 2025, he’s accumulated a 12-5 record on the playing surface while Auger-Aliassime is 0-2 to this point.
The Canadian began his career as a beast on clay courts but has fallen off over the years. Since the start of 2020, he is 34-29 on the surface.
Additionally, Cerundolo is playing the best tennis of his career. The 26-year-old is 20-9 in all matches in 2025 and is coming off a semifinal appearance at Munich, a tournament also played on clay.
He ended up losing to No. 13-ranked Ben Shelton, but he did manage to cover this spread.
I don’t trust Auger-Aliassime right now, either. After a brilliant start to the year, the Canadian has lost four of his past five matches.
Key stat: Cerundolo has cashed this wager eight straight times on clay. That includes a recent three-set loss to Carlos Alcaraz, the No. 3-ranked player on tour.
Visit full Madrid Open betting markets.
Andreescu Madrid Open tennis pick
Andreescu +1.5 sets (+110): I don’t want to overreact and say Andreescu is back, but I feel good about the Canadian being able to win her fair share of games.
Technically, she could lose this match and still cover this modest line.
Andreescu missed a lengthy period of time recovering from multiple injuries. She lost her first match upon returning, but I’m willing to overlook her first go on clay since last July.
She looked much better in her second match, beating McCartney Kessler in straight sets (6-2, 6-4).
The competition gets much harder for the round of 64 as Andreescu takes on No. 11-ranked Elena Rybakina.
Rybakina is 17-7 in 2025 but has yet to play on a clay court. She has an 87-36 career record on the surface but could need time to accumulate in this match.
This is Rybakina’s worst run in a while, too. The 25-year-old’s 70.8% winning percentage this season is almost 10 points lower than her 79.6% win rate in 2024.
Madrid Open predictions made at 2:31 p.m. on 04/24/2025.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.