There are three NBA playoff games tonight, and I’ve got a prop bet from each of them.
The pregame narrative: In the nightcap, I like Donte DiVincenzo to cash a plus-money 3s prop against the Los Angeles Lakers. Earlier on, I’m fading Desmond Bane and looking for Pascal Siakam to fill the net.
Check out the best NBA prop bets for first-round playoff action on April 22.
NBA prop bets
Best Bet: Siakam over 20.5 points (-108)
The Pacers have a balanced scoring attack, but Siakam is still the No. 1 option. And with that in mind, this is a perfectly attainable number for him to hit.
The ex-Raptor led the Pacers in points per game (20.2) during the regular season and had a team-high 25 points in Game 1 against the Bucks.
It was a tidy shooting effort against Milwaukee, as Siakam shot 10-for-15 from the floor (3-for-5 from 3-point range). That’s nothing new.
- In five matchups against Milwaukee this season, Siakam is averaging 24.2 PPG on 57.3% shooting.
- He has 20+ points in 5 of 5 games — and 25+ points in 4 of 5.
According to Cleaning The Glass, the Bucks allow the highest rate of long mid-range shots in the NBA (9.5%).
That’s a stylistic fit for Siakam, who ranks in the 91st percentile in long mid-range shot attempts (13.0%).
Key stat: In the past 15 days, Milwaukee has allowed the sixth-most PPG to opposing power forwards, according to Betting Pros.
Best NBA picks
Bane under 2.5 threes (-110): After getting run out of the building in Game 1 against the top-seeded Thunder, the Grizzlies desperately need a spark on offence.
I just don’t think Bane will be the one to provide it.
During the regular season, OKC allowed the lowest opponent 3-point percentage (34.2%). And the Thunder have largely had the clamps on Bane.
In five matchups this season against OKC, Bane is shooting 27.3% from deep. He’s just 3-for-18 beyond the arc in the past three meetings.
Overall, Bane has gone under 2.5 threes in 43 of 70 games. I don’t expect him to buck that trend in this matchup.
DiVincenzo over 2.5 threes (+105): The Timberwolves seemingly couldn’t miss from 3-point range in Game 1 against the Lakers. Well, except for DiVincenzo.
The shooting guard went 1-for-5 from deep, while the rest of his team shot 20-for-37. Sigh.
But if you watched the game, you should’ve come away encouraged by the quality of looks DiVincenzo saw.
According to NBA.com, all five of his attempted 3s were either “open” (4-to-6 feet from the closest defender) or “wide open” (6+ feet).
If that keeps up, the shots should start to fall.
After missing several weeks with a toe injury, DiVincenzo finished the regular season shooting 44.7% from 3-point range in his final 22 games. He cashed this bet 16 times in that span.
NBA prop picks made at 10:28 a.m. ET on 04/22/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.