The first of two Western Conference play-in games takes place on Tuesday between the Memphis Grizzlies and Golden State Warriors.
The pregame narrative: I think the Grizzlies can keep this game competitive so I’ll back them on an alternate spread. This +325 SGP also includes picks on Desmond Bane and Steph Curry.
Check out my Grizzlies vs. Warriors SGP predictions for April 15.
Grizzlies vs. Warriors predictions
Parlay: Grizzlies +10.5 | Bane over 2.5 threes | Curry over 26.5 points (+330)
Grizzlies +10.5 (-210): There is no easy matchup in the West. That will be showcased when the Grizzlies (48-34) visit the Warriors (48-34) for the conference’s first play-in game.
Golden State played its best basketball down the stretch. The team went 23-7 with Jimmy Butler in the lineup following the trade deadline.
But I can’t ignore how good Memphis is, especially when healthy. Let’s look at some of its team stats and where they rank in the NBA:
- 121.1 points per game (2nd)
- 118.5 offensive rating (6th)
- 113.7 defensive rating (9th)
The Grizzlies also have a positive away record (22-19), which is nice to see for any team in the postseason.
I’m not sure Memphis can pull off the upset here, but this enough points to get behind on the away side.
NBA SGP legs
Bane over 2.5 threes (-121): There was no one more consistent for the Grizzlies than Bane.
He averaged 19.2 points per game this season on 48.4% from the field (39.2% from 3).
Bane closed the season shooting a high volume of triples, going 6-2 against this line over the last eight games.
He took at least five attempts in all those contests and seems to fall more into a catch-and-shoot role when his point guard, Ja Morant, is healthy.
Memphis plays at the fastest pace in the league, so there should be an uptick for most players on offence, including Bane.
In an April 1 meeting with the Warriors, Bane shot 4-for-10 from deep.
Curry over 26.5 points (-148): Who better to bet on than Curry in the playoffs?
He’ll surely take advantage of the Grizzlies’ fast pace as he’s done in the past.
In that recent meeting between these two teams, ‘Chef’ Curry dropped 51 points on 16-of-31 shooting. A similarly inflated amount of shot attempts would do wonders for this pick.
On Sunday, the superstar guard scored 36 points against the Los Angeles Clippers in what was the closest thing there is to a playoff game during the regular season.
He shot 50% from the field and went 7-for-12 from deep.
The last time Curry was in the playoffs was 2022-23, and he averaged 30.5 points in 13 games played.
Grizzlies vs. Warriors predictions made at 11:24 a.m. ET 04/15/2025.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.