The second leg of the Champions League quarterfinal continues this week, and I have picks for both of Wednesday’s games.
The pregame narrative: Real Madrid needs a few goals at home for a comeback over Arsenal. I’m picking Kylian Mbappe to contribute to the cause by scoring. I also have eyes on Lautaro Martinez’s shot prop when Inter Milan hosts Bayern Munich.
Check out the best Champions League prop bets for the quarterfinal second leg.
Champions League prop bets
Go to full Champions League betting markets.
Best Bet: Mbappe to score (-106)
Mbappe is in a bit of a slump, going scoreless in his past four matches and in seven of his last nine.
That doesn’t change his underlying stats as an elite goal scorer:
- La Liga: 22 goals in 29 games
- UCL: 7 goals in 13 games
He’s always going to have opportunities. He’s recorded 18 shots on target over the past six games in which he played the full 90 minutes.
That’ll surely be the case on Wednesday as Real Madrid needs to win big to stay in the competition.
Mpabbe will spearhead an attack that is desperate for goals. I expect the defending champions to go down swinging, led by their star forward.
The side will need three goals at home, and that’s where the French attacker has been at his best for Los Blancos.
Key stat: Mbappe has 18 goals in 23 games played at Santiago Bernabeu Stadium across all competitions this season.
Quick pick
Martinez over 2.5 shots (-127): Martinez leads a potent Inter Milan offence that has scored at least a goal in 12 straight matches.
The Italian side holds a 2-1 lead on aggregate, but I don’t expect it to hold back and invite pressure against a squad as talented as Bayern Munich.
Bayern has recorded the most xG in the Champions League (32.6) this season, per FotMob. In other words, the German giants could score at any time and level the score.
That’s why it’ll be important for Inter to continue to play with the mindset of winning this match rather than not conceding.
Enter, Martinez. Dating back to the start of 2025, he is 15-3 against this line across all competitions, averaging 3.7 shots per game.
The offence flows through its Argentinian striker. I expect him to continue to let it rip in the second leg of the quarterfinal.
Martinez cleared this line on the road in the first leg with three shots.
Champions League picks made at 11:51 a.m. on 04/14/2025.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.