Only a few games have meaning on the final day of the NBA regular season. I’m targeting three starters from those matchups.
The pregame narrative: Anthony Edwards has the chance to avoid the play-in, so expect him to carry the offensive load for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Elsewhere, bet on Zach LaVine and Nikola Jokic to shine.
Check out the best NBA prop bets for April 13.
NBA prop bets
Best Bet: Edwards over 25.5 points (-108)
The Timberwolves have a wide range of outcomes today. But one thing is certain: If they win, they’ll avoid the play-in tournament.
That shouldn’t be too much to ask against the lowly Utah Jazz — especially with a red-hot Edwards leading the charge.
- Over his last seven games, Edwards averaged 28.9 points and scored 25+ six times.
- He’s taking a ton of shots, attempting 19.6 field goals per game during that time, while shooting above 50%.
- Plus, he’s been lighting it up from deep, attempting 11.0 3-pointers and making 4.3 a night (39.0%).
This is practically a playoff game for the T-Wolves, and Edwards has proven to be the go-to guy for them.
The Jazz have the worst defensive rating in the NBA (121.1). They also allow the second-most points per game to shooting guards (24.14), per Fantasy Pros.
Key stat: Edwards has scored 30-plus points against Utah in six straight games dating back to 2023.
Best NBA picks
LaVine over 22.5 points (-118): Like the T-Wolves, the Sacramento Kings can decide their fate as well.
No matter what, the Kings will play the Dallas Mavericks in the play-in, but Sacramento can guarantee that the contest is played at home with a win over the Phoenix Suns.
Phoenix will be without Devin Booker, Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal, so this is a prime spot for the Kings to grab a win.
And that effort should be spearheaded by LaVine with how he’s played over the last five games:
- 31.6 PPG
- 22.2 FGA
- 53.2 FG%
- 55.1 3PT%
What piques my interest the most, though, is his 5.4 made 3s per night over that timeframe.
His immense volume and MVP-calibre efficiency provide a very reliable floor at the moment.
Jokic to record a triple-double (+116): The last team I’ll highlight is the Denver Nuggets.
They can secure the fourth seed by simply beating the Houston Rockets. That task would usually be difficult, but the Rockets should be resting a lot of their key players to prepare for the postseason.
This could also go really poorly for Denver. A loss and an unlucky mixture of results around the league would drop the squad into the play-in tournament.
That’s why I expect Jokic to step up and have a big game for his team.
Well, actually, he would only need a standard performance; the big man averages a triple-double (29.8 points, 12.8 rebounds, 10.3 assists).
That includes cashing this wager in five of the past eight games. Two of the three times he fell short, he finished one assist shy.
NBA prop picks made at 9:37 a.m. ET on 04/13/2025.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.