There are two spots in the Champions League semifinal on the line Tuesday. I’ve got picks for both games.
The pregame narrative: It’s the second leg of the quarterfinal, and my best bet is on Barcelona to win. I also like the under on the game total at plus money in Aston Villa vs. PSG.
Check out the best Champions League predictions for the quarterfinal second leg.
Champions League predictions
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Best Bet: Barcelona to win (-118)
Borussia Dortmund is at home and has everything to play for but I can’t get behind the squad with how this season went.
The German side is usually at the top of the Bundesliga leaderboard … not this year.
Dortmund sits in ninth place and is in danger of missing out on Champions League qualification for next year.
The side squeaked through the Round of 16 with a 2-1 win (on aggregate) over the French side LOSC Lille.
Barcelona is on a different tier, and that showed in the first leg. The Spanish giant dominated from start to finish and won 4-0 off the back of two goals from Robert Lewandowski.
It’s also worth noting that Barca is first in La Liga and is undefeated in 2025.
Key stat: During that time, Barcelona had a record of 19-4-0, winning 16 of those games by multiple goals.
Quick pick
Aston Villa/PSG under 2.5 goals (+130): Whichever way this match goes, I like the under.
PSG can lose this match, 1-0 or 2-0 and still advance on aggregate. That makes me believe the French side will come out with a safe defensive strategy.
That will allow Les Parisiens to control the pace, which would, more importantly, keep Aston Villa away from its goal.
My prediction is that PSG wins this game, holding strongly until the final whistle. But, if Aston Villa comes out hungry to score, it will be on the Ligue 1 champs to limit chances and control the possession.
PSG should take minimal risks here looking for offence, and that has me very interested in the under at this price.
Champions League predictions made at 12:48 p.m. on 04/12/25.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.