On Wednesday night, Luka Doncic returns to Dallas for the first time since the seismic midseason trade, as his Los Angeles Lakers face the Mavericks.
The pregame narrative: Doncic was a dominant force in his first matchup against his old team, notching a triple-double in a winning effort. But I cashed a fade of him on that night, and I’ll try to do so again.
Check out these Luka Doncic props for the April 9 matchup against the Mavericks.
BOOST: Luka to drop 30/10/10 in return to Dallas (+770, was +700). Bet now!
Luka Doncic props vs. Mavericks
| Doncic markets | Betting odds |
| Over 30.5 points | -118 |
| Under 30.5 points | -113 |
| 8+ rebounds | -150 |
| Over 8.5 assists | +110 |
| Under 8.5 assists | -148 |
| Over 47.5 PRA | -121 |
| Under 47.5 PRA | -109 |
| Over 3.5 threes | -125 |
| Under 3.5 threes | -106 |
| To record a double-double | -130 |
| To record a triple-double | +475 |
Best Doncic prop bet
Best Bet: Under 47.5 points/rebounds/assists (-109)
I’m trying to prevent the narrative of the night from taking over.
Because on one hand, wouldn’t you expect Doncic to set fire to American Airlines Center and give a mourning Dallas crowd a knife-twisting show?
On the other hand, this line has been too lofty for Doncic in recent weeks with the emergence of Austin Reaves. I’m not ready to refer to Doncic, LeBron James and Reaves as a Big Three … but they’re playing like it right now.
Here are their statistical averages since the start of March:
- Doncic: 29.4 points, 7.9 rebounds, 8.1 assists (45.4 PRA)
- LeBron: 23.1 points, 7.0 rebounds, 7.2 assists (37.3 PRA)
- Reaves: 23.9 points, 5.2 rebounds, 5.2 assists (34.3 PRA)
When three players are capable of at least flirting with a 25/5/5 stat line on a nightly basis, it’s difficult to back any of them individually to clear a 47.5-PRA prop.
Doncic posted an inefficient triple-double in his first matchup against the Mavericks back in February. He scored 19 points on 6-of-17 shooting, but buoyed the stat line with 15 rebounds and 12 assists.
Anthony Davis, who is healthy now, didn’t play in that game. From a rebounding standpoint, that matters.
I expect AD to gobble up plenty of rebounds, while LeBron and Reaves will also dip into Doncic’s potential as a rebounder and passer.
Doncic should have some cathartic moments on Wednesday night. But that doesn’t convince me to buck his recent trend of reduced production.
Key stat: In his past 12 games, Doncic has averaged 42.7 PRA and hit this under 10 times. He landed on exactly 48 PRA in both outliers.
Luka Doncic prop odds as of 11:10 a.m. ET on 04/09/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.