Alex Ovechkin just needs one more. His quest to stand alone as the NHL’s all-time leading goal scorer could end on Sunday against the New York Islanders.
The pregame narrative: Ovechkin potted two goals on Friday night at home against the Chicago Blackhawks, bringing his career goal total (894) even with Wayne Gretzky. Is today the day Ovi passes the Great One for good?
Check out our Alex Ovechkin goal odds for the April 6 matchup vs. the Islanders.
Alex Ovechkin goal odds
| Market | Odds |
| Over 0.5 goals | -108 |
| Under 0.5 goals | -130 |
Alex Ovechkin goal odds as of 10:30 a.m. on 04/06/2025.
Gretzky’s 894 career NHL goals came in 1,487 games.
Ovechkin, sitting at 894 career goals as well, can set the record on Sunday in his 1,487th game.
That’s only possible because of the latest rampage the Russian superstar has been on this month:
- 1+ goals in four straight games
- 11 goals in March (17 games)
Ovechkin has -108 odds to score, which seems reasonable based on his track record this season. He has scored in 55.0% of games (33 of 60), while the implied probability on this line is 51.9%.
It might be worth considering how Ovechkin wants to break the record, though.
He’s already made it clear he doesn’t want to score the 895th goal on an empty net. Would he be satisfied breaking the record on the road rather than in front of a home crowd?
That might be overthinking things a bit, but the Caps do play two of three at home after Sunday’s matchup on Long Island.
Assuming Ovechkin is in go-mode as long as a goalie is in the crease, the Islanders look like a good matchup for him.
In their past 25 games, the Isles have allowed the ninth-most goals per 60 (3.40) as well as the second-most xGA/60 (3.45), per Natural Stat Trick.
Ovechkin hasn’t had much recent success against New York, but he also hasn’t faced the division foe all year.
Key stat: Ovechkin has only scored in one of his past seven games against the Islanders (since January 2023).
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.