March Madness Final Four parlay predictions: Bet on Florida to win, Duke’s Knueppel to score

March Madness parlay predictions

The top four teams are the only ones left standing in March Madness.

The pregame narrative: In Saturday’s first best-on-best battle, I’m riding with the Florida Gators to topple the Auburn Tigers straight up. As for the second game, Kon Knueppel should fill the net even in a defence-first matchup.

Check out my March Madness parlay predictions for the Final Four on Saturday, April 5.

March Madness parlay predictions

Parlay: Florida ML | Knueppel over 1.5 threes (+150)

Florida ML (-163): Back in February, a shorthanded Florida team travelled to Auburn as an 11-point underdog and won, 90-81.

The Gators didn’t have second-leading scorer Alijah Martin (14.5 PPG) that day, but it didn’t matter.

Since then, Florida has rattled off 10 straight wins, which includes running the table at the SEC tournament — arguably as impressive as winning March Madness would be.

Florida and Auburn both rank in the top 10 in offensive and defensive efficiency, per KenPom.com, and they both have game-breaking stars (Walter Clayton Jr. and Johni Broome, respectively).

To me, the edge lies in the fact that the Gators earned a relatively comfortable road win against the Tigers already this year, and that it came without Martin.

Florida is 31-2 SU as a favourite. With Martin back, I expect another win for the Gators.

College basketball parlay picks

Knueppel over 1.5 threes (-182): Although I don’t expect a ton of offence in the Houston vs. Duke game, I think a pair of 3s from Knueppel is well within reach.

  • Knueppel has 2+ threes in 7 of 9 games since March 3.
  • He’s shooting 7-of-13 from beyond the arc in March Madness.
  • He has a 40.1 3PT% on the season.

Cooper Flagg isn’t the only NBA lottery-bound freshman in Duke’s starting lineup. And while opposing teams do their best to slow down the projected No. 1 pick, Knueppel is talented enough to take advantage.

Knueppel has cashed this bet in three straight games and is averaging 2.1 threes this year.

March Madness parlay predictions made at 4:15 p.m. ET 04/02/2025.

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Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.