The Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles end their four-game opening series at the Rogers Centre on Sunday.
The pregame narrative: I’ve got reason to believe the Blue Jays have the pitching advantage, giving them the edge in the series finale. Take the moneyline with prop picks on Chris Bassitt and Cedric Mullins.
Check out my +295 SGP Orioles vs. Blue Jays predictions for March 30.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays predictions
SGP: Jays ML | Bassitt over 4.5 Ks | Mullins 1+ hit (+295)
Jays ML (-132): Little MLB data exists on Orioles starter Tomoyuki Sugano, but he seems to be the type of pitcher the Jays can mash.
He is a low-velocity arm with an arsenal of pitch types. Here’s how he used different pitches in the Japan Central League in 2024:
- Fastball (34%)
- Cutter (21%)
- Slider (20%)
- Splitter (16%)
- Curveball (9%)
If we look at how Blue Jays top hitter Vladimir Guerrero Jr. fares against these pitches, it starts to paint a positive picture for Toronto.
In 2024, he hit .331 against fastballs, .435 against cutters and .318 against sliders, per FanGraphs.
Bo Bichette also hit above .330 against four-seam and cut fastballs two seasons ago when he was healthy.
If those two get on base early and often, there should be ample opportunity for the middle of Toronto’s order to cash some runs.
I have Chris Bassitt down for a big game, too, but more on him next.
MLB SGP legs
Bassitt 5+ Ks (-210): If anything, the Jays need Bassitt to eat some innings.
Max Scherzer had a tough first inning on Saturday but was starting to roll before being pulled because of an injury. He only lasted three innings, forcing Toronto to use five relievers.
Toronto will end this four-game set and immediately open another series tomorrow against the Washington Nationals.
Bassitt had back-to-back starts against the Orioles last season and had mixed results:
- At Baltimore: 4.0 IP, 9 hits, 5 ER, 3 Ks
- At home: 7.0 IP, 3 hits, 2 ER, 9 Ks
This contest will be in Toronto, so that’s the good news. The longer Bassitt can go, the better for this leg of the parlay — and the Jays.
Bassitt had a strong spring training, for what it’s worth, pitching 20.2 innings, recording a 1.74 ERA and 18 Ks.
Mullins 1+ hit (-210): The Orioles’ long-time outfielder started 2025 the right way.
Mullins has four hits in three games, including two home runs. His 1.262 OPS probably won’t hold up, but it’s elite while it lasts.
He has been successful against Bassitt in their few meetings. In five plate appearances, he’s collected two hits and a walk.
I don’t expect the Orioles’ offence to get much on Sunday, but a hit from Mullins isn’t a lot to ask for.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays predictions made at 8:31 a.m. ET on 03/30/2025.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.