There are two spots in the Final Four up for grabs on Sunday and I have a prop pick for each game.
The pregame narrative: Jase Richardson Jr. came into the tournament on a tear and I like the Michigan State Spartans guard to go over this points total. My other pick is on Houston Cougars guard L.J. Cryer.
Check out the best March Madness prop bets for March 30.
March Madness prop bets
Best Bet: Richardson Jr. over 15.5 points (-120)
Richardson came into the tournament off the back of some big performances against some good teams.
He cleared this line in four straight games prior, averaging 18.6 points per game.
The freshman then fell short in the first two games but showed up when it mattered against the Ole Miss Rebels. He dropped 20 points on 6-of-8 shooting and 4-of-6 from deep.
Six of the eight remaining teams rank inside the top 10 in the nation for defensive rating, per KenPom.com, so there are few easy matchups left.
It then becomes about finding an edge, and I think there’s one here with Richardson, who can light it up from deep on any given night.
Key stat: Richardson has 50.2/42.0/83.2 shooting splits and has scored 15-plus in nine of 11 games in which he played 30 or more minutes.
Best March Madness pick
Cryer over 15.5 points (-106): The senior guard has had mixed results at this tournament:
- Round of 64: 15 points, 5-of-12 shooting
- Round of 32: 30 points, 8-of-15 shooting
- Sweet 16: 5 points, 2-of-13 shooting
He shot 1-for-5 from 3 in that last performance. However, I feel comfortable saying that’s an outlier performance for the 42.4% 3-point shooter.
The Tennessee Volunteers attempt 24.3 3s per game. I expect the Cougars to lean on the veteran leadership and 3-point shooting of Cryer to keep pace.
March Madness prop bets made at 3:36 p.m. ET on 03/29/2025.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.