Cooper Flagg headlines Saturday’s March Madness prop bets.
The pregame narrative: Flagg is coming off a 30-point virtuoso against the Arizona Wildcats in the Sweet 16, and I wouldn’t be surprised if he flirts with that number again. Take the over on his point total against the Alabama Crimson Tide and also back Florida’s Elijah Martin.
Check out the best March Madness prop bets for March 29.
March Madness prop bets
Best Bet: Flagg over 23.5 points (-124)
Teams are falling over each other in the NBA for the rights to acquire Flagg, and it’s not hard to see why.
The consensus No. 1 pick in the 2025 draft and NCAA National Player of the Year has been lighting up the tournament so far:
- First-round vs. Mount St. Mary’s: 14 points, seven rebounds, five assists
- Second-round vs. Baylor: 18 points, nine rebounds, six assists
- Sweet 16 vs. Arizona: 30 points, six rebounds, seven assists
I wouldn’t worry much about Flagg failing to clear this mark in Duke’s first two games. He played sub-30 minutes in both contests as the Blue Devils cruised to blowout victories.
When Jon Scheyer needed Flagg in a tight Sweet 16 matchup, he delivered.
The forward played 37 minutes on Thursday — his most since early February — and took a team-high 19 shots.
Alabama ranks fourth in KenPom’s adjusted offensive efficiency and has the superstars to keep this game close. The Crimson Tide’s defence isn’t nearly as good, though, ranking 347th in points allowed (81.2) and 331st in fouls committed (18.9/game).
Flagg should get a ton of run in a back-and-forth affair.
Key stat: Flagg is 10-5 against this line when playing more than 30 minutes.
Best March Madness picks
Martin over 14.5 points (-134): Walter Clayton Jr. is Florida’s top dog — there’s no disputing that.
But Martin is exactly what a championship team needs, a steady No. 2 who hits his shots and takes care of the basketball.
The senior guard is averaging 14.6 PPG this season and has turned up the heat since conference tournament play began:
- 15.3 PPG
- 55.0% shooting
- 4-2 vs. this line
Martin fell just shy of this mark in the Sweet 16, scoring 14 points on 4-of-10 shooting. The Texas Tech Red Raiders should throw everything at stopping Clayton, and I’m hoping that results in quality looks for Martin.
March Madness prop bets made at 2:02 p.m. ET on 03/28/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.