The Toronto Blue Jays host the Baltimore Orioles on Opening Day, and I’ve built a four-leg SGP for the action.
The pregame narrative: For the first time since 2019, Toronto will open its season at home. With two aces on the bump, I’m hesitant to back a side. So instead, this wager features player props on Jose Berrios, Adley Rutschman and Alejandro Kirk.
Check out my Orioles vs. Blue Jays SGP predictions for March 27.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays predictions
MLB Opening Day Boost: Jays to win & Santander to homer. Bet now (+578)
Parlay: Rutschman 1+ hits | Kirk 1+ hits | Berrios 4+ Ks | Under 10.5 runs (+340)
Rutschman 1+ hits (-250): I’m sure Berrios is itching to get the ball on Opening Day, but he probably wants nothing to do with Rutschman.
Baltimore’s all-star catcher has dominated Berrios, and I expect him to bring the boom again.
- 13-for-22 (.591 BA)
- 2 doubles, 3 home runs (1.091 SLG)
- 0 strikeouts
Batting for average and power against a pitcher of Berrios’ calibre is one thing, but I’m most impressed by the zero strikeouts. Every time Rutschman has faced the righty the ball is in play, which is insane.
Kirk 1+ hit (-230): This could be the last season with Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette in Toronto, but Kirk isn’t going anywhere.
The catcher just signed a five-year, $58-million contract with the Blue Jays, and it’s not hard to see why the front office loves him.
- Kirk has batted .265 with a 106 OPS+ since becoming an everyday starter in 2022, while providing elite defence.
- He doesn’t strike out much, with a 15.7% whiff rate (92nd percentile) and 13.2% K rate (95th percentile), according to Baseball Savant.
Kirk is 6-for-14 against Baltimore starter Zach Eflin with one strikeout.
MLB SGP legs
Berrios 4+ Ks (-286): Berrios isn’t an elite swing-and-miss arm by any means, but he pitches deep into ballgames and is reliable against this total.
He went 24-8 against this line in 2024 and cleared it in 12 straight games to close out the season.
In 11 career starts against the Orioles, Berrios is 8-3 against this line with a 2.95 ERA.
Under 10.5 runs (-230): Taking the under on this teased-up game total brings our parlay from +180 to +340, well worth it in my opinion.
Berrios and Eflin are both solid, and I expect them to suppress scoring.
Toronto’s ace has a 2.96 ERA against the Orioles since 2022 and logged two quality starts against them last year (both wins).
Elfin, meanwhile, was great for Baltimore following his acquisition at last year’s trade deadline. He owned a 2.60 ERA and 1.12 WHIP across nine starts for the O’s.
That includes a game against Toronto where he gave up three runs over 6.0 innings with seven Ks.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays predictions made at 9:00 a.m. ET on 03/27/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.