In the absence of a couple of stars, the Memphis Grizzlies face the Utah Jazz on Tuesday night.
The pregame narrative: Both teams are missing a notable scorer, which is part of the reason I’m taking a teased-up under tonight. But I still expect Santi Aldama and Isaiah Collier to chip in offensively for their respective squads.
Check out my Grizzlies vs. Jazz SGP predictions for March 25.
Grizzlies vs. Jazz predictions
Parlay: Under 245.5 points | Aldama 2+ threes | Collier 6+ assists (+280)
Under 245.5 points (-205): The Grizzlies won’t have Ja Morant tonight, and his absence takes a huge bite out of this team’s talented offence.
- Memphis has gone under this total in three of four games since Morant was sidelined with a hamstring injury.
- Unders are 7-3 in the Jazz and Grizzlies’ past 10 games, respectively.
- Unders are 2-0 in previous matchups between these teams. The average total in those games was 232.5 points.
Utah’s leading scorer, Lauri Markkanen (19.0 PPG), is also out.
Markkanen has only played four of Utah’s 16 games since Feb. 24. In that span, the team ranks 28th in offensive rating (107.1).
NBA SGP legs
Aldama 2+ threes (-175): Aldama has missed most of this month with a calf injury, but he’s turned in a pair of nice performances beyond the arc recently.
- March 19: 2-for-4
- March 21: 3-for-8
Morant’s absence should mean more 3-point opportunities for shooters like Aldama, Desmond Bane and Jaren Jackson Jr. And this is a great matchup to raise the floor on shot volume.
Utah allows the most 3-point makes (14.7/game) and attempts (41.6/game) in the NBA.
In 19 games without Morant this year, Aldama has cashed this bet 12 times while averaging 2.1 threes.
Collier 6+ assists (-245): A lot has gone wrong for the Jazz this year, but Collier has been a bright spot — at least as a passer.
Let’s not lose sleep over the guard’s 41.5% field goal percentage right now. The positive headliner for the ex-USC guard is that he leads all NBA rookies in assists per game (6.2).
Collier wasn’t a starter from Day 1, but he’s been in that role for close to three months now.
- In 39 games as a starter, Collier has averaged 7.9 assists.
- He has 6+ assists in 35 of his past 40 games.
Memphis allows the 10th-most assists per game, and Collier finished with six dishes in 28 minutes when he faced the Grizzlies two weeks ago.
Grizzlies vs. Jazz predictions made at 3:30 p.m. ET 03/25/2025.
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Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.