Best March Madness first-round prop bets: Bet on Nick Townsend to shine in an underdog role on Thursday

March Madness prop bets

March Madness is an opportunity for anonymous heroes to emerge, and I’m targeting two players to show up big in Thursday’s first round.

The pregame narrative: Nick Townsend is surging as a scorer for the Yale Bulldogs, and I like that to continue in today’s game against an aggressive Texas A&M Aggies squad. I also have a plus-money play on Silas Demary Jr. (Georgia).

Check out the best March Madness prop bets for March 20.

March Madness prop bets

Best bet: Townsend over 12.5 points (-138)

No. 4 Texas A&M is scrappy, but that scrappiness leads to plenty of fouls. With that in mind, I think Townsend should be a force for No. 13 Yale.

Townsend is a 6-foot-7, 250-pound forward who shoots well from the free-throw line (76.3%). He’s also a stat-stuffer in the paint.

  • On the season, Townsend is averaging 15.4 points.
  • He has 13+ points in 19 of 29 games.

Texas A&M is an elite rebounding team, but none of its rotation players are taller than 6-foot-9. So it’s not like Townsend should be swarmed by much taller bigs.

Look for Townsend to be a focal point for Yale’s offence.

Key stat: After a bit of a slow start, Townsend has gone over 12.5 points in 18 of his past 24 games.

Quick March Madness pick

Demary over 2.5 threes (+145): For a guy who’s only canning 1.8 threes per game, this might seem like a bit of a reach.

But Demary’s 3-point shot volume is way up right now, and I think that could continue for No. 9 Georgia’s matchup against the No. 8 Gonzaga Bulldogs.

Here’s what Demary has accomplished from the 3-point line in his past 10 games:

  • 6+ attempts in 9 games
  • 2+ makes in 10
  • 38.2 3PT% on 7.6 attempts

Demary cashed this prop in five of those 10 matchups, but he was a threat to do it every time.

Gonzaga allows 24.4 attempted 3s per game, which ranks 79th in D-I.

March Madness prop bets made at 10:20 a.m. ET on 03/20/2025.

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Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.