Saturday’s marquee NBA matchup features the New York Knicks and the Golden State Warriors, and that’s where my favourite prop bet of the night comes from.
The pregame narrative: OG Anunoby has been heavily involved as a shooter in recent games, and I don’t see why he’d stop now. I also like the over on the points prop for ex-Warrior Andrew Wiggins, while Nikola Vucevic is a justifiable fade candidate.
Check out my top NBA prop bets for March 15.
NBA prop bets
Best bet: Anunoby over 18.5 points (-118)
Anunoby is on a heater right now, cashing this bet in six of his past seven games.
Well, maybe “heater” isn’t the right word, since he’s only shooting 43.4% from the floor in that timeframe.
But in a way, that makes me feel even better about his chances to succeed tonight. There hasn’t been an unsustainable run of shooting efficiency to prop up Anunoby’s scoring binge.
What’s happened in these recent games is an uptick in shot volume. Anunoby now has 15-plus field goal attempts in eight straight games (after previously averaging 12.5 FGA this season).
That includes a significant bump in 3-point shot volume, too.
- Season averages: 16.6 PPG, 6.1 threes/game
- Past 7 games: 21.3 PPG, 8.9 threes/game
With Jalen Brunson set to miss a fourth consecutive game, I expect plenty more shots for Anunoby.
Anunoby and the Knicks face the Warriors on Saturday for the second time in two weeks. In their earlier matchup this month, Anunoby had 29 points on 11-of-19 shooting (4-for-9 from deep).
Key stat: Anunoby is averaging 20.0 points on 16.5 FGA in four games without Brunson this season, and he’s cashed this bet three times.
Best NBA picks
Wiggins over 20.5 points (-108): After a pair of quieter ramp-up games with his new squad, Andrew Wiggins has been a steady scoring presence for the Miami Heat.
Here’s what Wiggins has accomplished in his past eight games:
- 21.1 PPG
- 16.8 FGA
- 20+ points in 6 of 8
Both the Heat and the Memphis Grizzlies are on back-to-backs on Saturday, so there are no rest advantages to speak of.
But the Grizzlies are worth targeting for Wiggins because they allow the second-most PPG to opposing small forwards (24.0), per Betting Pros.
Vucevic under 3.5 assists (-163): The Houston Rockets allow the fewest assists in the NBA overall (22.9/game), as well as the third-fewest to opposing centres (3.51). This is a worthwhile opportunity to fade Vucevic even at some rather juiced odds.
The Chicago Bulls’ big man hasn’t been particularly pass-happy, anyway. He’s gone under this assist total in six of his past seven games.
Last night, Houston allowed just 14 total assists to the Dallas Mavericks. No one on the Mavs had more than three assists in that game.
NBA prop picks made at 12:25 p.m. ET on 03/15/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.