I’m backing two teams to record points during this weekend’s Premier League action.
The pregame narrative: Tottenham and Manchester United have disappointed this season, but both are in a good spot to pick up points away from home against Fulham and Leicester City, respectively.
Check out the best Premier League predictions for Matchday 29.
Premier League predictions
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Best Bet: Tottenham to win or tie (-130)
At the time of writing, Tottenham is gearing up for its second leg against AZ Alkmaar in the Europa League Round of 16.
Fulham will have not played since March 8, and that extra rest is likely baked into this price.
But I still like Spurs to pick up at least a point at Craven Cottage given their recent from in the Premiership. They’re 3-1-1 in their last five with the only loss coming to Manchester City, 1-0.
Tottenham’s defence has been an issue all season, but things are starting to turn. Micky van de Ven and Cristian Romero are finally healthy, and having both starting centrebacks back in the lineup can’t be understated.
Agne Postecoglou’s side has given up just four goals in its last five EPL games — a massive improvement from the five games prior (11 goals).
Fulham’s calling card is its defence, as the club has allowed the third-fewest xG (32.4), per FBRef. Tottenham has managed to score in all but five of its EPL fixtures, though, and I anticipate it getting on the board on Sunday.
With that said, a 1-1 draw or 1-0 win for Spurs seems a likely outcome.
Key stat: Fulham has only won five of its 14 home EPL fixtures.
Quick pick
Manchester United to win (-118): Man United is also playing on Thursday — against Real Sociedad in the Europa League — while Leicester City has the week off.
I also don’t think that’ll matter much, considering the Foxes are relegation-bound with a 5-4-19 record in 28 EPL fixtures.
United is a miserable 3-5-5 away from Old Trafford but has found decent form lately, with a 1-2-0 record in their last three games. That includes a 1-1 draw against Arsenal at home where they generated 1.5 xG.
Leicester City has allowed the third-most xG this season (53.5) and I hope Rubin Amorim’s side can take advantage of an easy fixture.
Picks made at 12:49 p.m. on 03/13/25.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.