Wednesday’s NBA nightcap between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Denver Nuggets is loaded with star power.
The pregame narrative: Both Western Conference juggernauts are rolling, and I expect Minnesota to cover an alternate spread on the road. Player prop bets on Nikola Jokic and Russell Westbrook round out this +350 wager.
Check out my Timberwolves vs. Nuggets SGP predictions for March 12.
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets predictions
Parlay: Timberwolves +7.5 | Jokic over 11.5 rebounds | Westbrook over 25.5 PRA (+350)
Timberwolves +7.5 (-205): Betting against Denver might seem scary but Minnesota has found its groove and is live to win this game.
The T-Wolves are on a five-game winning streak and have covered a +7.5 spread in 11 of their last 12 outings.
That includes three contests against the Oklahoma City Thunder, two of which Minnesota won outright.
Chris Finch’s squad has had Denver’s number dating back to the start of last season, owning an 8-5 record against the Nuggets and eliminating them from the playoffs in seven games.
In those games, the T-Wolves covered this number 10 times.
NBA SGP legs
Jokic over 11.5 rebounds (-265): Jokic is -104 to record 14-plus rebounds, which speaks to his strong form on the glass.
- The three-time MVP is averaging 13.0 rebounds, ranking No. 3 in the NBA.
- In his last seven games, Jokic is averaging 16.0 rebounds and has 13-plus in every game.
I’m bullish on Jokic clearing his standard line and would play it as a straight wager but will trim a few boards off for this SGP.
Rudy Gobert just returned from a 10-game absence for the T-Wolves and will be on a minutes restriction tonight (he played 20 minutes on Monday).
That should create a size mismatch in the paint which Jokic can exploit.
Westbrook over 25.5 PRA (-114): Westbrook’s season has had plenty of ups and downs but this seems like a solid spot to back the veteran guard.
Chris Finch was easing Westbrook into action after he missed seven games with a hamstring injury and now he’s back to getting starters minutes:
- First five games since return from injury: 23.9 minutes, 18.0 PRA, 0-5 against this line
- Last five games since return from injury: 32.1 minutes, 24.6 PRA, 2-3 against this line
Aaron Gordon is listed as doubtful and Westbrook has feasted in his absence. He has averaged 14.4 points, 5.7 rebounds and 7.0 assists (27.1 PRA) in 25 games this season.
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets predictions made at 9:15 a.m. ET on 03/12/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.