The Toronto Maple Leafs battle the Utah Hockey Club after a tough loss on Saturday night.
The pregame narrative: The Colorado Avalanche outlasted the Maple Leafs on Saturday, but Toronto’s Matthew Knies continues to impress. I’m betting on him to deliver a point in Monday’s contest and am fading Loogan Cooley.
Check out my Maple Leafs prop picks vs. Utah for March 10.
Maple Leafs prop picks vs. Utah
Best Bet: Knies to score 1+ points (-112)
I will continue betting on Knies to score a point so long as the price remains palatable.
The young forward is thriving under new head coach Craig Berube. He has career-highs in goals (24) and points (42) and is seeing increased opportunities as a result.
Knies is playing on Toronto’s first line alongside Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner, which is prime placement in the Maple Leafs’ lineup. The winger also plays next to those two, William Nylander and John Tavares on the squad’s top power play.
His usage is up significantly this year compared to previous seasons. Knies is playing 18:26 per game compared to just 13:39 per game before the 2024-25 campaign.
Utah is a neutral matchup for Knies as the team is tied for a middling 14th in goals against per game (2.94) this season.
Matthews (-315) and Marner (-265) are both priced at a significantly longer price to record a point. Comparatively, Knies remains a great value and is worth backing until the market adjust.
Key stat: Knies has a point in five of his last six games.
Quick pick
Cooley to not score a point (-134): Cooley is having a solid offensive campaign but there’s ample reason to fade him tonight.
The young star has 47 points in 56 games but does enter Monday’s contest on a three-game pointless streak. Looking at an even larger sample size, Cooley has been held off the score sheet in six of his last 10 outings.
Although Cooley centres Utah’s first line, he does not skate on the top power play, which is a significant knock against his chances of producing.
The Maple Leafs aren’t a plus matchup for the forward, either, as they’re tied for 15th in goals against per contest (2.95). They’re also a respectable 10th in team save percentage (.899).
Maple Leafs vs. Utah picks made at 12:36 p.m. ET 03/10/2025.
Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.