Three player props constitute Sunday’s +380 SGP for the Minnesota Timberwolves vs. San Antonio Spurs matchup.
The pregame narrative: Anthony Edwards and Julius Randle have been a dynamite one-two punch this month, and I expect both of them to have a productive outing. On the other side, back Chris Paul to clear a modest assist milestone.
Check out my Spurs vs. Timberwolves SGP predictions for March 9.
Spurs vs. Timberwolves predictions
Parlay: Randle 35+ PRA | Edwards 4+ threes | Paul 6+ assists (+380)
Randle 35+ points/rebounds/assists (-105): I would urge bettors to keep an eye on the Timberwolves’ injury report leading up to tip-off.
Rudy Gobert (back), who hasn’t played since Feb. 12, is questionable to suit up. This wager could swing a couple of counting stats in either direction based on his availability, but I like Randle’s chances of having a big night regardless.
The power forward is averaging 18.5 points, 8.5 rebounds and 6.5 assists (33.5 PRA) since returning to the lineup on March 2.
He’s only cleared this line in one of four games but draws an A-plus matchup against a Spurs team sans Victor Wembanyama.
San Antonio ranks 29th in rebounding rate since the all-star break. It’s also giving up the second-most PPG to power forwards over the last 30 days, according to Fantasy Pros.
NBA SGP legs
Edwards 4+ threes (-132): Edwards has been reliable against this number all season, shooting with both accuracy (40.1%) and volume (10.1 attempts/game) from beyond the arc.
And over the last 15 games he’s shooting and making plenty of 3s:
- 4.2 makes on 11.3 attempts
- 4+ threes in 9 of 15 games
- 3+ threes in 12 of 15 games
Edwards lives around this number on a nightly basis. And San Antonio provides a solid matchup for the guard to stay hot.
Since Wemby went down with an injury, the Spurs are giving up the ninth-most 3-point attempts per game.
Paul 6+ assists (-195): One worry with this wager is that the T-Wolves could run away with things if Randle and Edwards are cooking. That would likely mean fewer minutes for starting players.
But I’m hoping Paul can dish out enough assists to the likes of De’Aaron Fox and Devin Vassell to keep this one close.
The veteran PG is averaging 7.9 assists this year. He has cleared this mark in six of nine games with Wembanyama sidelined.
Paul has played the T-Wolves three times in 2024-25 and went well over this mark each time, tallying 36 total assists.
NBA picks made at 9:15 a.m. ET on 03/09/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.