The Toronto Raptors face the Orlando Magic on Sunday for the first of two matchups in three days in Central Florida.
The pregame narrative: Scottie Barnes has put up strong numbers in both games against Orlando so far this season, and I’m counting on that to continue. In addition to a Barnes prop and an alt total, I’m backing Wendell Carter Jr. in a +325 SGP.
Check out my Raptors vs. Magic same-game parlay predictions for March 2.
Raptors vs. Magic predictions
Parlay: Under 213.5 points | Barnes 30+ PRA | Carter 8+ rebounds (+325)
Under 213.5 points (-167): Unders are generally a good call when betting on Orlando games, and Toronto seems like a worthy dance partner in that regard.
- Unders are 38-23 (62.3%) in Magic games this year, per Team Rankings. That includes a 20-11 unders record at home.
- As for the Raptors, unders are 16-12 (57.1%) when they’re on the road — compared to just 13-19 at home.
- In Toronto’s past seven road matchups, the average total was just 208.7 points. This under cashed in five of those games.
Dating back to March 2024, unders are 4-0 in the past four matchups between Toronto and Orlando. Both previous meetings this year finished below 205 points.
SGP legs
Barnes 30+ points/rebounds/assists (-150): Orlando is a tough matchup for any stat-stuffers on the other side, but Barnes is well worth a look at this number.
For starters, he cleared this mark in both prior games against the Magic this season:
- Jan. 3: 32 PRA in 37 minutes
- Jan. 21: 36 PRA in 34 minutes
Both of those games were in Toronto, mind you, but it’s still encouraging to see success against one of the NBA’s elite defensive squads.
In his past 30 games against any opponent, Barnes has averaged 20.4 points, 7.6 rebounds and 5.7 assists (33.7 PRA).
He’s cashed this milestone in 23 of those 30 games.
Carter 8+ rebounds (-205): Carter was recently re-inserted into the Magic’s starting lineup, and that makes quite a difference for his rebounding potential.
- As a starter (31 games), Carter is averaging 8.5 rebounds in 27.3 minutes.
- As a reserve (17 games), he’s averaging 5.6 rebounds in 21.8 minutes.
Jakob Poeltl has been on a minutes restriction in two games since returning from injury. If that continues, Carter will have an even greater opportunity to feast on the glass.
Carter has cashed this prop in both games against the Raptors this year, including once when he grabbed nine rebounds in just 18 minutes off the bench.
In his past six games, he’s averaged 11.0 rebounds and hit this milestone five times.
Picks made at 11:10 a.m. ET 03/02/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.