I have three prop bet recommendations for Tuesday’s seven-game NBA slate.
The pregame narrative: Tonight’s picks are on guards De’Aaron Fox and Austin Reaves, and Boston Celtics big man Kristaps Porzingis.
Check out the best NBA prop bets for Feb. 25.
Best NBA prop bets
Best bet: Fox over 24.5 points (-112)
Tonight’s San Antonio Spurs and New Orleans Pelicans matchup has the second-highest projected total of the evening.
A shade under 240 points, scoring is expected and I want a piece of the player with the highest upside.
Fox has only played eight games with the Spurs since his trade from the Sacramento Kings. Of those eight, five came alongside superstar teammate Victor Wembanyama, who’s out for the season.
The star point guard has averaged 21.4 points over his brief Spurs tenure, but this new situation hasn’t really told us much and won’t until Wembanyama is (hopefully) back on the court next season.
Here’s why I like Fox to eat tonight:
- Fox has dropped 26-plus points in two of his last three games without Wembanyama.
- He has taken seven attempts from deep in three straight games.
- The Pelicans allow the 2nd-most threes per game and rank 23rd in opponent 3PT%.
The 6-foot-3 southpaw, who averaged 25.0 points with the Kings, should be active from long range, driving up his output.
Expect some huge games from Fox down the stretch. This looks like it will be one of them.
Key stat: New Orleans is 28th in the NBA in defensive rating.
Quick picks
Reaves over 28.5 PRA (-104): You’ll be paying a premium if you’re backing Luka Doncic on Tuesday night.
The discount prices are officially over ahead of tonight’s game against his former team following his best game (32 points) as a Los Angeles Laker.
But there’s an opportunity to get his teammate at a light line.
Reaves has scored 20-plus points in two of the four games he’s played with Doncic.
The 26-year-old guard is a strong No. 3 option on the Lakers and can benefit from playing alongside playmakers like Doncic and LeBron James, who draw extra defenders.
Reaves is 8-1 against this line in February. The one game he fell short was when he was ejected.
The Dallas Mavericks have defended guards well, but they’re 24th in defensive rating this month and will surely be paying significant attention to Doncic.
Porzingis over 7.5 rebounds (+100): Centres tend to perform well against the Toronto Raptors, who may once again be without Jakob Poeltl tonight.
Poeltl is questionable as of Tuesday afternoon and has been out since early February. Even if he does play, he’ll likely have his minutes capped.
He’s the best rebounder (by far) on the Raptors, who allow the eighth-most rebounds to centres, according to Betting Pros.
Porzingis has hit this at a below-50% rate this season, but one of those times came against Toronto in January.
And he’s gotten to seven rebounds in 65% of his games, so he’s often living around this number.
Picks made at 12:57 p.m. ET on 02/25/2025.
Chris joined NorthStar Gaming from Covers.com where he was a publishing editor and wrote betting content. Before that, he was the sports editor at VICE Canada, worked for theScore and covered the Blue Jays for MLB.com. In addition to filling out the lineup card each day for the editorial team, Chris writes frequently himself, primarily on the NBA and MLB.