I’ve got three prop bets for Sunday’s all-day NBA slate.
The pregame narrative: First up, back Derrick White to have a game against the New York Knicks. Then, back Tyler Herro against the Milwaukee Bucks and fade Evan Mobley against the Memphis Grizzlies.
Check out how I’m betting on them in the best NBA prop bets for Feb. 23.
Best NBA prop bets
Best bet: White over 13.5 points (-120)
White isn’t the first, second or third option on the Celtics but that’s what makes them a championship-calibre team.
Boston has scoring depth littered throughout its lineup and I expect White to provide some pop today.
The shooting guard is averaging 16.1 PPG while shooting 37.8% from his deep. And he’s been on a nice little tear over the last 10 games:
- 17.6 PPG
- 41.9 3PT%
- 15+ points in 8/10 games
One of those games was against the Knicks on Feb. 8 when White scored 17 points while making 4-of-7 threes in a blowout effort (he only played 25 minutes).
Assuming this game is closer, I like White’s chances of racking up points by exploiting the NBA’s worst 3-point defence.
Key stat: White is 2-0 against this line while playing the Knicks this year, shooting a combined 10-for-17 in those games.
Quick picks
Herro over 23.5 points (-118): Herro is poised for a monster night. Jimmy Butler is out which means the sharpshooting guard is officially top dog.
That was the case most of the year to begin with, as Herro has posted career-highs in points (23.9), 3s made (3.7) and 3s attempted (9.7).
He scored 28 points against the Toronto Raptors in his first game since the all-star break and has cleared this line in three of his last six games.
Now, Herro gets a Milwaukee Bucks team which allows the most points per game to opposing point guards, per Fantasy Pros.
Mobley under 18.5 points (-120): Mobley is having the best scoring year of his career but this is a prime fade spot.
The Grizzlies are one of the best defensive teams in basketball, ranking seventh in defensive rating (111.0) and third in opponent field goal percentage (45.1%).
Mobley does a lot of his damage in the mid-range and Memphis has the best mid-range defence in the NBA, per Cleaning the Glass.
Cleveland’s power forward is efficient but only takes 12.6 shots per game. I can see the Grizzlies making his life difficult.
Picks made at 9:43 a.m. ET on 02/22/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.