Here’s a same-game parlay to sink your teeth into for the final round-robin game of the 4 Nations Face-Off between Sweden and the USA.
The pregame narrative: Team USA is already off to the final, but I expect the squad to stay sharp ahead of the championship match. I’m picking the Americans to win and looking for Jake Guentzel to deliver a point. Additionally, I’m taking the over on a teased-down total.
Check out my Sweden vs. USA same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 17.
Sweden vs. USA predictions
Parlay: USA ML | Guentzel to score a point | Over 5.5 goals (+230)
USA ML (-190): Sweden’s motivation will likely be tethered to the result of the Canada-Finland game.
The Swedes can only advance with a regulation win plus an overtime result in the preceding game. Even if the stars align for Sweden ahead of this contest, I’m skeptical of its chances to defeat Team USA.
The Americans have been very difficult to break down defensively. They’ve allowed just two goals through two games this tournament thanks to stellar defence and elite goaltending from Connor Hellebuyck.
The offence has registered nine goals through two contests, but it could be missing a key cog. Matthew Tkachuk suffered a lower-body injury against Canada on Saturday, and his status is still uncertain.
Team USA still has plenty of offensive star power, though, with Auston Matthews, Jack Hughes and Brady Tkachuk, among others. The Americans should still be able to get the job done.
Other parlay legs
Guentzel to score a point (-148): Guentzel’s anytime goal odds are also appealing (+225), but I’m just looking for him to register a point in this same-game parlay.
The Tampa Bay Lightning star has been excellent in international action for Team USA. He has three goals and nine shots through two matchups.
His spot in the team’s lineup makes him an easy choice at this number. Guentzel skates on the second line with Matthews and Hughes and plays on the squad’s top power play.
Guentzel is a natural goalscorer, but playing at even strength and on the man advantage with Matthews significantly boosts his chances of notching an apple.
Over 5.5 goals (-143): Lastly, I’ll take the over on this teased-down goal total.
Sweden is still searching for its first win but scoring goals hasn’t been an issue. Tre Kronor have scored three goals in both of their games, and the hope is they can contribute at least a couple of tallies in this contest.
Goals haven’t been difficult to come by for the U.S., and it should be able to deliver against Sweden. The Swedes, after all, have allowed eight goals in this tournament.
The over on this total has cashed in both of Sweden’s games at the 4 Nations Face-Off.
Picks made at 10:03 a.m. ET 02/17/2025.
Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.