For the first time since the seismic trade that caused Anthony Davis and Luka Doncic to trade places, AD will suit up for the Dallas Mavericks on Saturday afternoon.
The pregame narrative: In the first NBA game of the day, all eyes will be on Davis as he looks to steer the Mavericks out of the middle of the Western Conference standings. After missing a week and a half due to injury, Davis looks like a fade candidate to me.
Check out these Anthony Davis props for the Feb. 8 matchup against the Rockets.
Anthony Davis props vs. Rockets
| AD markets | Betting odds |
| Over 24.5 points | -118 |
| Under 24.5 points | -120 |
| Over 10.5 rebounds | -150 |
| Under 10.5 rebounds | +105 |
| Over 3.5 assists | -120 |
| Under 3.5 assists | -118 |
| Over 35.5 points/rebounds | -120 |
| Under 35.5 points/rebounds | -118 |
| Over 1.5 blocks | -209 |
| Under 1.5 blocks | +145 |
Best Davis prop bet
Best bet: Under 3.5 assists (-118)
Dallas didn’t bring in Davis to be a facilitator. He’s in the Lone Star State for his rim protection and scoring touch.
Keeping that in mind — along with his 3.4 assists-per-game average — this isn’t a line I expect him to clear very often in his new home.
I’m especially bearish on his assist potential today for a couple of reasons:
- The Rockets allow the fewest assists per game in the NBA (22.7).
- Davis hasn’t played since Jan. 28 due to an abdominal injury and could be brought along cautiously.
Davis has gone under 3.5 assists in 24 of 42 games this season (57.1%). In his final 10 games as a Laker, he hit the under eight times.
Say what you will about the unbelievable nature of the Doncic-AD trade, but Davis can still hoop at an elite level. He’s just not a prominent passer, and a fade in this spot makes perfect sense.
Key stat: Houston allows the fourth-fewest assists to opposing power forwards, per Betting Pros.
Pick as of 11:00 a.m. ET on 02/08/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.