The surging Memphis Grizzlies visit the Toronto Raptors on Wednesday night.
The pregame narrative: The Raptors have been profitable as home underdogs, but they welcome a buzzsaw in the Grizzlies, who I expect to win by a few possessions. To round out the +310 SGP, I am backing Toronto native Zach Edey to have a big game, while fading Gradey Dick.
Check out my Grizzlies vs. Raptors same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 5.
Grizzlies vs. Raptors predictions
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Parlay: Grizzlies -5.5 | Edey over 18.5 points/rebounds | Dicks under 2.5 threes (+310)
Grizzlies -5.5 (-210): The Raptors have flourished at home this season, but the Grizzlies present a bad matchup.
It’s worth noting that centre Jakob Poeltl left Tuesday’s game against the New York Knicks due to a right hip pointer issue. That’s not an injury any player can recover from overnight.
Without the big man, the Raps could get destroyed on the boards — an area the Grizzlies have exploited before.
The first matchup on Boxing Day saw Memphis explode for 155 points against an under-sized Raptors squad.
Led by a menacing front court of Jaren Jackson Jr. and Zach Edey, the Grizzlies are near the top in several big-man stats.
- 2nd in offensive rebounds (13.1 per game)
- 3rd in defensive rebounds (31.2 per game)
- 2nd in points in paint (57.6 per game)
- 2nd in second-chance points (16.9 per game)
Memphis is 9-1 SU over its last 10 games, with the lone defeat against the Knicks. Plus, the side is 7-3 ATS during that stretch.
With the Raptors entering the second game of a back-to-back and likely missing a few key players, I am not optimistic about their chances tonight.
Other SGP legs
Edey over 18.5 points/rebounds (-109): It wasn’t long since Edey posted a career-high 16 rebounds against the Raptors.
Standing at an imposing 7-foot-4, the rookie centre is evolving into one of the league’s better rim protectors.
Edey has eclipsed this mark in five of his past six games, highlighted by a stellar performance against Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs.
The hometown boy will be eager to ball out in front of family and friends, and he’s got a favourable matchup to do it tonight.
Centres like Karl-Anthony Towns, Ivica Zubac, and Nikola Vucevic have put up big numbers against the Raptors in recent games.
Dick under 2.5 threes (-165): While he’s had flashes of brilliance, Dick hasn’t been letting it fly from distance recently.
Dick has failed to exceed this mark in each of his last 10 games, attempting 4.7 3s per game in that stretch.
I don’t expect that streak to snap against the Grizzlies, who are ranked sixth at defending the three-point shot (35.1%).
Picks made at 11:10 a.m. on 02/05/25.
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