With the trade deadline looming, I’m targeting one of the key remaining trade chips in my NBA prop bets.
The pregame narrative: Nikola Vucevic has been hauling in a ton of rebounds lately, and I expect him to continue in a plus matchup on Tuesday. Elsewhere, look for Jalen Green to shine from the backcourt.
Check out the best NBA prop bets for Feb. 4.
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Best bet: Green 3+ threes (-143)
Green is coming off a rough night as a 3-point shooter (1-for-8). But there are a few reasons why he should continue to let it fly tonight.
- Green is on a roll: Despite his poor performance on Monday, Green has been in a groove beyond the arc over the past month. In 16 games from Jan. 3 through Feb. 3, he shot 40.8% from deep and averaged 3.8 makes per game.
- Houston needs 3-point shooting: Fred VanVleet (ankle) is considered week-to-week after sustaining an injury on Saturday. VanVleet averages 7.8 attempted 3s per game, which is second on the Rockets behind only Green (8.1).
- Brooklyn is a plus matchup: The Nets, who Green will face tonight, allow the second-highest opponent 3PT% (37.5). They also allow the eighth-most 3s to opposing shooting guards (3.6), per Betting Pros.
I won’t let one down night from Green change my outlook on him.
Based on his recent form, VanVleet’s injury and Tuesday’s matchup, there’s a logical recipe here for Green to hit a trio of 3s.
Key stat: Green has cashed three-plus 3s in 11 of his past 16 games.
Quick pick
Vucevic over 10.5 rebounds (-130): Vucevic’s matchup against the Miami Heat has my attention.
Miami allows the fourth-most rebounds to opposing centres (16.2), as well as the seventh-most rebounds overall.
Vucevic, who might be playing his final game with the Bulls, is positioned to go out on a high note.
He’s averaged 11.3 rebounds over his past 19 games, cashing this bet 14 times in that span.
Picks made at 9:40 a.m. ET on 02/04/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.