With the trade deadline looming, I’m targeting one of the key remaining trade chips in my NBA prop bets.
The pregame narrative: Nikola Vucevic has been hauling in a ton of rebounds lately, and I expect him to continue in a plus matchup on Tuesday. Elsewhere, look for Jalen Green and Tyrese Haliburton to shine from the backcourt.
Check out the best NBA prop bets for Feb. 4.
Best NBA prop bets
Best bet: Green 3+ threes (-121)
Green is coming off a rough night as a 3-point shooter (1-for-8). But there are a few reasons why he should continue to let it fly tonight.
- Green is on a roll: Despite his poor performance on Monday, Green has been in a groove beyond the arc over the past month. In 16 games from Jan. 3 through Feb. 3, he shot 40.8% from deep and averaged 3.8 makes per game.
- Houston needs 3-point shooting: Fred VanVleet (ankle) is considered week-to-week after sustaining an injury on Saturday. VanVleet averages 7.8 attempted 3s per game, which is second on the Rockets behind only Green (8.1).
- Brooklyn is a plus matchup: The Nets, who Green will face tonight, allow the second-highest opponent 3PT% (37.5). They also allow the eighth-most 3s to opposing shooting guards (3.6), per Betting Pros.
I won’t let one down night from Green change my outlook on him.
Based on his recent form, VanVleet’s injury and Tuesday’s matchup, there’s a logical recipe here for Green to hit a trio of 3s.
Key stat: Green has cashed three-plus 3s in 11 of his past 16 games.
Quick picks
Haliburton over 27.5 points/assists (-129): This line would’ve seemed curiously low in either of Haliburton’s two previous seasons, but he’s had a bit of a statistical dip in 2024-25.
Even so, I like his chances to hit the over against a team he’s crushed in recent meetings.
Haliburton has breezed past this total in all three games against the Portland Trail Blazers since the start of last season. He averaged 27.3 points and 12.0 assists in those matchups.
In his past 16 games overall, Haliburton has gone over 27.5 PA nine times while shooting 40.0% from beyond the arc.
Portland allows the seventh-most points to opposing point guards (25.0).
Vucevic over 10.5 rebounds (-122): Vucevic’s matchup against the Miami Heat has my attention.
Miami allows the fourth-most rebounds to opposing centres (16.2), as well as the seventh-most rebounds overall.
Vucevic, who might be playing his final game with the Bulls, is positioned to go out on a high note.
He’s averaged 11.3 rebounds over his past 19 games, cashing this bet 14 times in that span.
Picks made at 9:40 a.m. ET on 02/06/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.