Two budding superstars headline Monday’s NBA prop bets.
The pregame narrative: Paolo Banchero is slumping but gets an A-plus matchup against the Golden State Warriors. I like him to score and am also backing Victor Wembanyama to fill the basket and Dillon Brooks from deep.
Check out the best NBA prop bets for Feb. 3.
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Best bet: Banchero over 23.5 points (-121)
Banchero is fighting it right now but can you really blame him? The third-year forward tore his oblique weeks into the season and was asked to jump on a moving train after missing two months.
Still, I’m encouraged by a few things.
Banchero doesn’t appear to be on a minute restriction anymore. He’s played 40-plus minutes in two of his last three games after failing to crack 30 in his first five since returning.
And secondly, he’s taking a ton of shots, which is important, even if they’re not going in.
- Banchero is averaging 21.3 FGA over his last four games.
- He’s scored 20+ points twice in that span, clearing this line once.
I expect a rebound from Banchero coming off his worst game of the season (a 4-of-19 shooting performance against the Utah Jazz).
The Warriors own the second-worst mid-range defence, according to Cleaning the Glass. Banchero takes 41% of his shots from that area of the court, which ranks in the 87th percentile for all NBA players.
Key stat: Golden State allows the fifth-most PPG to power forwards, per Fantasy Pros.
Quick picks
Wembanyama over 23.5 points (-121): The Victor Wembanyama show is about to get a lot more exciting with De’Aaron Fox in the mix.
San Antonio took a huge leap this year with Wemby breaking out as a scorer and now adds a bonafide stud PG in the mix.
But we’ll have plenty of time to talk about Fox — let’s look at what Wembanyama’s done over his last 20 games:
- 25.4 PPG
- 20+ points 16 times
- 24+ points 9 times
Wembayma is getting to 20 points on most nights which is a great baseline to work with. The Memphis Grizzlies are a strong defensive team but give up the seventh-most points to opposing centres.
Brooks over 2.5 threes (+123): Brooks is on a mini-heater and I want in.
The Canadian shooting guard has made 18 threes in his last four games, clearing this line three times. He’s shooting with volume and accuracy and should get more looks with Fred VanVleet sidelined tonight.
Brooks is also going up against a New York Knicks team that is dreadful at defending the perimeter.
The Knicks have the highest opponent 3-point percentage (37.9) and give up the 11th-most 3s per game (11.7).
Picks made at 9:19 a.m. ET on 02/03/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.