Travis Kelce Super Bowl best bet: Fade superstar’s longest reception prop

Travis Kelce best bet

Travis Kelce is one of the most famous people on the planet, but can you expect Taylor Swift’s boyfriend to step up on the biggest stage at Super Bowl 59?

The pregame narrative: Kelce has had some epic Super Bowl moments, but I’m not expecting one this time around. The Kansas City Chiefs superstar has lost a step and I don’t anticipate him breaking off any big plays against a stout Philadelphia Eagles defence.

Check out our Travis Kelce best bet and predictions for Super Bowl 59 on Feb. 9 in New Orleans.

Travis Kelce best bet

Click linked odds to add selection to your betslip. Note: Lines have changed/market no longer available if grey.

Kelce prop marketsBetting odds
Over 61.5 receiving yards-115
Under 61.5 receiving yards-113
To record 80+ receiving yards+188
To record 100+ receiving yards+420
Longest reception – Over 19.5 yards-125
Longest reception – Under 19.5 yards-105
Over 6.5 receptions+120
Under 6.5 receptions-157
Kelce to have 40+ receiving yards in each half+800
Anytime TD+125
To score 2+ TDs+900
Super Bowl MVP odds+1,600

NFL odds as of 1:58 p.m. ET on 02/02/2025.

Best Kelce prop pick vs. Eagles

Best Bet: Kelce under 19.5 yards – longest reception (-105)

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It doesn’t take a veteran football fan to realize that Kelce doesn’t have the same jump he used to.

The talented tight end is noticeably slower, limiting his ability to create explosive plays for Kansas City.

It’s fair to wonder if Kelce is still a viable go-to option for Patrick Mahomes in the Chiefs’ biggest moments. There were plenty of “got to have it” moments for Kansas City in its win over the Buffalo Bills and Mahomes didn’t turn to Kelce in any of them.

Kelce finished the AFC Championship Game with two catches for 19 yards on four targets. That’s the lowest total he’s ever posted in a playoff game.

Finding room to operate against Philadelphia’s suffocating defence is going to be a tall task for Kelce.

The Eagles don’t just stymie wide receivers on the outside with an elite secondary, they also erase tight ends from most games.

No team allowed fewer receiving yards per game to tight ends than Philadelphia (34.8), according to Yahoo Fantasy.

Kelce may be a quick outlet for Mahomes as he looks to evade pressure from Philadelphia’s ferocious defensive line but don’t expect him to burn this stacked defence for a huge gain.

Key stat: Kelce has failed to record a 20-plus reception in four of his last six games.

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Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.