The PGA Tour heads to one of its most iconic venues for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
The latest: Scottie Scheffler headlines an 80-man field, which will play one round at Pebble Beach and one round at Spyglass Hill before returning to the former for the weekend. I’ve got bets on three players, including Collin Morikawa and Tommy Fleetwood.
Check out our Pebble Beach Pro-Am picks for the PGA Tour tournament beginning on Jan. 30.
Pebble Beach Pro-Am picks
Go to full Pebble Beach Pro-Am betting markets.
Best bet: Morikawa to win (+1,400) & top-10 finish (+150)
This course is tailor-made for Morikawa’s game.
Pebble Beach has the smallest greens on the PGA Tour, placing a heavy emphasis on iron play. It also has some of the largest penalties for missing the fairway, meaning off-the-tee accuracy is paramount.
- Morikawa is one of the best iron players in the world. He has the best all-time strokes gained: approach (+0.95) of anyone in the field, per Data Golf.
- He’s also second in driving accuracy (+8.7%) using the same metric, behind only Aaron Rai.
He’s only played this event once before — last year – and finished T14.
And while Morikawa hasn’t won an event since Oct. 2023, he’s come damn close. In his first start of the year, he shot 32-under par at the Sentry, finishing two shots behind Hideki Matsuyama.
The levee is bound to break sooner or later.
Key stat: Morikawa has three runners-up and 10 top 10s in his last 25 starts.
Quick picks
Fleetwood to win (+2,800) & top-20 finish (+100): Fleetwood has never won on the PGA Tour … but that has to change at some point, right?
The Englishman has been on a tear since the Olympics (where he won a silver medal):
- Nine starts, finishing no worse than T22
- Four top fives
- Seven top 20s
He’s a remarkably consistent iron player and is accurate off the tee. Fleetwood has only missed two cuts in his last 25 starts, finishing inside the top 20 a total of 15 times.
Straka to win (+5,500) top-30 finish (+100): This is incredible value for a player coming off a win.
Straka shot 25-under to win the American Express two weeks ago, edging out Justin Thomas by two. And it’s not like that was a fluke.
The Austrian was a mainstay atop the leaderboard last year, with top-five finishes at the Memorial Tournament and RBC Heritage. He also finished T16 at the Masters and was T15 at the Sentry to begin this season.
Straka is an elite iron player, picking up over a stroke on approach in each of his last six starts and is also very accurate with the driver.
Golf picks made at 1:46 p.m. on 01/28/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.