One of the most sought-after Super Bowl bets is who’s going to win MVP so here’s my insight.
The pregame narrative Saquon Barkley has been a wrecking ball for the Philadephia Eagles and one more other-worldly performance is well within the realm of possibilities. I like the value on Jalen Hurts, too, as well as Xavier Worthy for the Kansas City Chiefs due to his big-play ability.
Check out my Super Bowl MVP picks below.
Super Bowl MVP picks
- Full Super Bowl Markets
- Super Bowl 59 Injury Report
- Kansas City Chiefs Team Stats
- Philadelphia Eagles Team Stats
Best bet: Barkley to win MVP (+250)
Barkley rushed for 2,000 yards this season and had a plethora of MVP-calibre performances. Here are a couple of recent examples:
- Divisional round vs. Rams: 205 rush yards, 2 TDs
- Week 16 vs. Commanders: 150 rush yards, 2 TDs
Most recently, he logged 118 yards on 15 carries with three TDs vs. the Washington Commanders in the NFC conference championship.
Those are just a few of the monstrous performances Barkley put up over the season but it illustrates how dominant he can be while the Eagles continue to win games.
Since Week 7, Barkey has rushed for 100-plus yards in 12 of 14 games while adding 15 scores.
He has five TDs in two playoff games and would surely record big numbers if the Eagles were to win as the slight underdog.
Key stat: The last two running backs to win SB MVP (Terrell Davis, Emmitt Smith) averaged 30 carries, 144.5 yards (4.8 YPC) and 2.5 TDs. All of those numbers are within Barkley’s capabilities.
Quick picks
Hurts to win MVP (+300): Like Barkley, Hurts had three rushing touchdowns against the Commanders in the conference championship.
He is the biggest threat to steal scores away from Barkley near the goal-line so this pick is partially a hedge. I also can’t see any other Eagle outperforming these two if Philly were to win.
Hurts turned 19 goal-line carries into 11 TDs during the regular season and has found the end zone in two of three playoff games.
It may be recency bias but if Hurts were to replicate his performance from Jan. 26 (20/28 passing, 246 yards, 1 TD, 3 rush TDs) it would be hard to see anyone else winning this award.
Worthy to win MVP (+5,000): The more logical pick on the Kansas City side is Patrick Mahomes (+100) as he’s won three of the past five Super Bowl MVPs.
But I decided to take the long-shot approach and back the Chiefs’ most explosive offensive threat.
Worthy showed out for KC against the Buffalo Bills, recording six receptions, 101 scrimmage yards and a TD.
I’m well prepared for a low-scoring game between two of the NFL’s elite defences and if that were the case it would open the door for a long-shot option to steal the MVP award with one or two game-deciding plays.
The other way to go would be backing a defensive player but I have faith the rookie can make his mark in the big game.
NFL picks made at 2:14 p.m. on 01/27/25.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.