Anthony Edwards and RJ Barrett headline Monday’s NBA prop bets.
The pregame narrative: Edwards is a 3-point assassin and gets a prime matchup tonight. Barrett, meanwhile, should stuff the stat sheet for the red-hot Toronto Raptors. I’m also fading Giannis Antetokounmpo against the Utah Jazz.
Check out the best NBA prop bets for Jan. 27.
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Best bet: Edwards over 3.5 threes (-103)
This price seems too good to be true.
Edwards has been lights out to start the new year, averaging 30.2 PPG buoyed by elite perimeter shooting:
- 4.5 threes on 9.9 attempts per game (45.0%)
- 3+ threes in 10/13 games
- 4+ threes in 8/13 games
When looking to back a player on a 3-point market I want to see either accuracy or volume — Edwards has both.
He’s gone under this mark in three straight games but played the Denver Nuggets, Dallas Mavericks and Minnesota Timberwolves (and still hit three 3s twice).
Minnesota (fourth) and Denver (ninth) sit inside the top 10 for opponent 3-point percentage while Dallas is a respectable 16th.
The Atlanta Hawks, Monday’s opponents, allow the most 3s per game (14.7) at the second-highest rate (37.7%).
Edwards went 1-for-7 from deep against the Hawks earlier this year but that was in his worst scoring stretch of the season. Now, he’s on fire and should have ample opportunities to fill the basket.
Key stat: Edwards has 4+ threes in 30/45 games this season (66.6%).
Quick picks
Barrett over 11.5 rebounds/assists (-137): Can we get a vibe check with Raptors fans? Toronto has won three straight and five of its last six, putting a serious wrench in its Cooper Flagg plans.
Talk about getting hot at the wrong time. I digress. Barrett has been stuffing the stat sheet and I want in.
- The shooting guard is averaging 6.5 rebounds and 4.7 assists since returning from injury on Jan. 6.
- Barrett has 9+ rebounds and assists in 8/10 games, clearing this line four times.
He’s fallen under this line more often than not but I’m intrigued by his floor. And tonight he gets to play the New Orleans Pelicans, who have gotten torched by shooting guards.
New Orleans is giving up the second most rebounds and assists to SGs per game, per Fantasy Pros.
Antetokounmpo under 12.5 rebounds (-124): Fading a guy like Giannis is never fun but this is a pretty good spot to do it.
The Jazz own the third-best rebounding rate in the NBA (51.8%) while giving up the fourth-fewest boards per game (50.4).
Giannis has recorded double-digit rebounds in 16 straight games, so this will be a sweat. However, he is 3-3 against this line in his last six and with a tough matchup on deck, I’ll take the under on a gaudy total.
Also, the Milwaukee Bucks are 9-point favourites as of Monday morning so there is clear blowout potential in this one.
Picks made at 10:18 a.m. ET on 01/27/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.