The Los Angeles Lakers and Golden State Warriors battle in the Bay Area on Saturday night.
The pregame narrative: Los Angeles is rolling and I’ll back it to win against a Golden State team that’s the definition of mediocre. Prop bets on Austin Reaves and Steph Curry round out this +295 wager.
Check out my Lakers vs. Warriors same-game parlay predictions for Jan. 25.
Lakers vs. Warriors predictions
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Parlay: Lakers moneyline + Reaves Curry over 3.5 threes (+335)
Lakers -2.5 (+107): A month ago Curry said “We’re very mid right now” and I have to agree.
Golden State is 22-22 and sits 19th in offensive rating. Not good, not bad, just rudderless. That’s what happens when you have one aging star surrounded by a bunch of mediocre role players.
You could have said the same thing about Los Angeles earlier this season but I’m liking what I’m seeing from the Lakers lately.
L.A. is 4-1 in its last five games and just dismantled the reigning champion Boston Celtics, 117-96 on Thursday. Golden State, meanwhile, lost to the same Celtics team by 40 points a few days earlier.
LeBron James and Anthony Davis are humming and it seems like the D’Angelo Russell trade was classic addition by subtraction.
The Lakers beat the Warriors on Christmas Day with Davis leaving seven minutes in due to injury. With The Brow listed as probable, I think they roll tonight.
Other SGP legs
Reaves over 24.5 PRA (-275): LeBron and AD are bonafide superstars but Reaves isn’t that far off.
L.A.’s shooting guard has been lights out since his return from injury on Dec. 13:
- 20.3 PPG, 4.7 RPG, 7.3 APG
- 25+ PRA in 15/18 games games
He’s cleared this line on points alone five times during that stretch, including four games ago when he dropped 38 on the Brooklyn Nets.
With a ceiling like that, I love Reaves’ PRA total on most nights. And this Warriors team allows the 13th-most points and rebounds per game to SGs.
Curry over 3.5 threes (-265): Curry is having his worst scoring season in over a decade, putting up 22.6 a night.
That said, his 3-point volume and efficiency are still elite.
- Curry is averaging 4.3 makes on 10.6 attempts per night (40.7%).
- He’s cleared this total in 8/10 games this month.
The Lakers rank 18th in 3-point defence (36.3%) and Curry hit a whopping eight 3s against them on Christmas Day.
He’s cleared this in five of his last six games against L.A.
Picks made at 11:11 a.m. on 01/25/25.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.