Jayden Daniels and Saquon Barkley NFC championship props: Odds and predictions for Commanders vs. Eagles

Jayden Daniels and Saquon Barkley props

Entering the fall, Jayden Daniels was new to the NFL and Saquon Barkley was new to the Philadelphia Eagles. Now they’re the headliners in the NFC championship game.

The pregame narrative: Daniels has been on a tear as a passer, and I think the plus-money price on his touchdowns prop is worth a look. As for Barkley, try not to get sticker shock looking at his prop markets. To me, the value lies in his ability to bust one big run.

Check out our Jayden Daniels and Saquon Barkley props, odds and predictions for Jan. 26.

Jayden Daniels and Saquon Barkley props

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Daniels props and best bet

Click linked odds to add selection to your betslip. Note: Lines have changed/market no longer available if grey.

Daniels prop marketsBetting odds
225+ passing yards+100
250+ passing yards+185
60+ rushing yards+108
Over 20.5 completions-136
Over 32.5 pass attempts-114
Over 10.5 rush attempts-132
Over 280.5 passing/rushing yards-115
Under 280.5 passing/rushing yards-113
Over 0.5 interceptions-120
Anytime TD+160

NFL odds as of 2:55 p.m. ET on 01/24/2024.

Best Bet: Daniels over 1.5 passing TDs (+123)

If you’re looking to ride the wave with Daniels, this plus-money prop is a rather compelling way to buy in.

  • He has 2+ passing TDs in seven straight complete games (excluding his abbreviated start in Week 18 against the Cowboys).
  • Daniels threw for a season-high 5 TDs vs. the Eagles in Week 16.

The Eagles have the No. 2 scoring defence and the No. 1 total defence in the NFL, so they’re tough to crack no matter what you try. But they’re particularly stingy when it comes to rushing TDs.

Philly has only allowed nine rushing touchdowns in 19 games this season (second-fewest in the NFL).

Daniels has already been more active as a red-zone passer in the playoffs than he was during the regular season, and I expect that to continue.

In his first two playoff games, Daniels had 10 pass attempts inside the five-yard line. He’d only attempted 14 passes inside the five during the entire regular season.

Barkley props and best bet

Barkley prop marketsBetting odds
130+ rush yards-104
150+ rush yards+195
Longest rush – Over 23.5 yards-125
Over 13.5 receiving yards-117
Over 2.5 receptions+150
Over 24.5 rush attempts-125
Over 139.5 rushing/receiving yards-134
Under 139.5 rushing/receiving yards+102
Anytime TD-250

NFL odds as of 2:55 p.m. ET on 01/24/2024.

Best Bet: Barkley longest rush – Over 23.5 yards (-125)

Barkley is a home run hitter who gets to take plenty of hacks.

The NFL’s newest 2,000-yard rusher also paced the league with 345 attempts in the regular season. That’s 50 more than his previous high, and the most by anyone not named Derrick Henry since 2014 (DeMarco Murray).

We should all expect Barkley to get plenty of touches on Sunday, and the over on his rushing attempt total (24.5) is absolutely in play. But I prefer betting on Barkley having at least one smash play.

  • He’s had at least one rush of 20+ yards in 12/18 games (19 total rushes of 20+ yards).
  • Last week, he had two carries of 60+ yards.
  • Against Washington this season, Barkley cashed this bet in both matchups. He had carries totalling 68 yards, 39 yards and 23 yards in those games.

All told, Barkley has rushed 55 times for 296 yards (5.4 YPC) and four TDs against the Commanders this year.

It behooves the Eagles to feed their star tailback, and he’s proven many times over that he knows how to break a big run.

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Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.