A burgeoning rivalry is renewed tonight when the Dallas Stars host the Vegas Golden Knights.
The pregame narrative: Dallas is struggling to score lately, so I’ll fade standout defenceman Miro Heiskanen on his points prop market. Jason Robertson has been putting pucks on net, though, which I expect to continue.
Check out my Golden Knights vs. Stars props for Jan. 24.
Golden Knights vs. Stars prop picks
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Best bet: Heiskanen under 0.5 points (-107)
Heiskanen is an uber-talented defenceman who will likely have a Norris Trophy under his belt when it’s all said and done.
But we’re seeing a serious offensive slump from the Finn, who has put up just 22 points in 47 games. That nets out to a 37-point pace over a full season, which is well below the 62-point pace he was chugging at last season.
Heiskanen has points in back-to-back games but has been held off the stat sheet more often than not lately.
In his last 15 games, he’s 9-6 against this line.
Dallas has also lost four of its last six games while averaging just 2.5 goals per game. Most of Heiskanen’s production comes in the assist department (five goals, 17 assists this year), so I don’t like him to break out of this slump tonight.
Key stat: Heiskanen has five points — all assists — in 15 regular-season games against the Golden Knights, going under this mark in five of the last six.
Quick picks
Robertson over 2.5 shots (-106): Robertson has been one Star doing damage during this skid, with five goals in his last six games. Over that stretch, he’s fired 23 pucks on net, averaging out to 3.8 shots per game.
- The talented winger has 2+ shots in seven straight games, giving us a nice floor to work with.
- He’s cashed this bet in five of those contests, with 4+ shots four times.
Robertson plays on Dallas’ top line and is integral to its power play. The latter unit has struggled to produce this year, but I’m not asking for Robertson to register a point. He has the most dangerous shot on the team and is the No. 1 option on the man advantage.
The 25-year-old is averaging 18.16 chances (shot attempts) per 60, according to Natural Stat Trick. That paces all Stars players.
Picks made at 10:00 a.m. ET on 01/24/2025.
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Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.