The Washington Commanders and Philadelphia Eagles go to battle with a Super Bowl appearance on the line.
The pregame narrative: This high-stakes matchup features two NFC East teams with elite offences. I believe Washington can keep rolling, which is why I’m taking the Commanders to cover a teased-up spread. This +280 SGP also features a prop bet on Jayden Daniels.
Check out my Commanders vs. Eagles same-game parlay predictions for the game on Jan. 26.
Commanders vs. Eagles same-game parlay predictions
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Parlay: Commanders +10.5 + Over 44.5 points + Daniels over 21.5 completions (+280)
Commanders +10.5 (-225): The first thing worth noting is that Washington is 18-1 against this spread this season.
That one time the Commanders failed to cover was way back in Week 1 in Daniels’ first career start: a 37-20 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
They’ve since avenged that loss when it mattered most, ending Tampa Bay’s season in the wild-card round.
Washington then went on to dispose of the Detroit Lions, the Super Bowl favourites heading into last weekend, with a 14-point win in the Motor City.
The Commanders did give up the third-most rushing yards per game (137.5) this season, so the Eagles might have success running the ball. But just like in previous weeks, I expect Washington’s offence to keep pace.
Jahmyr Gibbs had 105 rushing yards on 14 carries in the divisional round and Washington still won by two touchdowns.
Daniels and the Commanders’ offence have scored 18-plus points in every game this season. That’s an extremely reliable offensive floor for these hefty spreads.
Other parlay picks
Over 44.5 points (-165): The argument for the over is similar to the argument for Commanders +10.5, but I’ll dive a little deeper.
Since losing to Philadelphia in Week 11, 26-18, Washington has scored 30.6 points per game. That includes a 36-33 win over Philly in Week 16. Daniels is only growing with more experience, and the offence is excelling.
Philadelphia’s defence was arguably the best unit in the NFL this season, finishing with the fewest yards and points allowed this year. Yet Washington managed to score 54 points against them in two matchups.
At the end of the day, both of these teams were hyper-efficient on offence this year:
- PHI: 179.3 rushing yards/game (2nd), 27.1 points/game (tied-7th).
- WSH: 154.1 rushing yards/game (3rd), 28.5 points/game (5th).
Daniels over 21.5 completions (-107): Daniels has cashed this wager regularly, completing 22-plus passes in eight of the past nine games.
The time he fell under, he only threw 12 passes in an abbreviated Week 18 outing against the Dallas Cowboys.
Daniels finished the season with a 69.0% pass completion percentage. That ranked sixth amongst QBs who played 10 or more games.
The playoffs have been no different as the second-overall draft pick has kept a steady 69.7% completion rate.
Daniels is oozing confidence right now. It’s clear no stage is too big for the Commanders’ rookie.
Picks made at 11:36 a.m. ET on 01/23/2025.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.