Leylah Fernandez takes on Coco Gauff in the third round of the Australian Open.
The pregame narrative: Fernandez is off to a flying start in 2025 but now faces one of the world’s best in Gauff. I expect the surging American to make quick work here.
Check out our Gauff vs. Fernandez odds and best bet for their Australian Open match on Jan. 16.
Gauff vs. Fernandez Australian Open odds
Go to full Gauff vs. Fernandez betting markets.
| Betting markets | Betting odds |
| Gauff to win | -700 |
| Fernandez to win | +400 |
| Gauff -5.5 games | -112 |
| Fernandez +5.5 games | -125 |
| Over 19.5 games | -118 |
| Under 19.5 games | -118 |
Best bet: Under 19.5 games (-118)
Fernandez has fared well against solid competition, but Gauff has been playing out her mind.
The No. 3-ranked American enters this match with victories in seven consecutive matches, defeating top-10 competitors Aryna Sabalenka, Iga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula in straight sets.
Fernandez, also in great playing form, was resilient in her second-round win over Cristina Bucsa (3-6, 6-4, 6-4) but looked vulnerable in the service game.
Inconsistent serving has remained an issue for Fernandez in this tournament. The Montreal native has four aces versus 13 double faults.
This doesn’t bode well against one of the best returners in the sport. Last season, Gauff ranked 16th in return games won (45.7) and 39th in second return points won (58%).
The two competitors recently met at the United Cup, with Gauff defeating Fernandez in straight sets (6-3, 6-2).
Against left-handers like Fernandez, the American owns a solid 15-4 record while winning 73% of sets.
I anticipate another quick victory as Gauff’s athleticism and superb defensive skills should overwhelm Fernandez.
Key stat: In 2024, Fernandez ranked 145th in break points won (44.8%).
Picks made at 10:24 a.m. ET on 01/15/2025.
