The final game of Matchday 20 goes down on Monday between the Wolves and Nottingham Forest.
The pregame narrative: Nottingham Forest is on a tear right now and I like the side to win against the Wolves on Monday. I am also picking the over on the game total and a prop pick on Chris Wood in this +310 SGP.
Check out my Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest same-game parlay predictions for Jan. 6.
Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest predictions
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Parlay: Nottingham Forest to win + Wood over 0.5 shots on target + Over 2.5 goals (+310)
Nottingham Forest to win (+125): Forest is on a serious heater right now. It is 5-0-0 over the past five games with notable wins over Tottenham, Aston Villa and Manchester United.
Three of those games were played on the road which is the situation for Matchday 20.
The run of play has catapulted Forest into third in the EPL above teams like Chelsea and Manchester City.
Nottingham Forest plays a tight defence and relies on a strong counter attack. The Wolves have allowed the seventh-most xG (31.1), per Fotmob.
The side sits 17th in the Premier League and concedes 2.2 goals per match (second-most in the EPL). The squad has a -11 goal differential.
SGP legs
Wood over 0.5 shots on target (-265): Wood is Forest’s leading scorer, netting 11 goals in 19 Premier League appearances.
He is 14-5 against this line in those matches and has another chance to do damage here.
As mentioned before, the Wolves are a poor defensive team and Wood is the main target for Nottingham Forest in the final third.
Wood has a shot on target in 10 of his last 14 starts.
Over 2.5 goals (+102): The final leg of this parlay is on the over.
Forest is a strong defensive team but it plays a weird style that allows opponents to attack freely.
The squad ranks last in average possession (39.5%) and first in clearances per match (27.8).
Those are stats of a team that gets dominated frequently, but more often than not, Forest can limit the damage.
That doesn’t change the fact that it’s a risky approach and there’s a solid chance the Wolves can score here.
- The side scores the eighth-most goals per game (1.6).
- The Wolves have scored a goal in seven of its last eight matches.
I could see Nottingham Forest scoring three alone but I still predict two will do the trick.
Picks made at 2:45 p.m. on 1/5/25.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.