The Golden State Warriors host the Cleveland Cavaliers on Monday night.
The pregame narrative: Cleveland is a small road favourite but I’m not picking a side or total this evening. An all-player-prop ticket featuring Steph Curry, Donovan Mitchell and Evan Mobley makes up this +330 SGP.
Check out my Cavaliers vs. Warriors same-game parlay predictions for Dec. 30.
Cavaliers vs. Warriors predictions
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Parlay: Curry over 23.5 points + Mobley over 14.5 points + Mitchell under 3.5 threes (+330)
Curry over 23.5 points (-141): Curry has been inconsistent this season but still leads the Warriors in scoring (22.5 points/game) and volume (16.8 shots/game).
And more importantly, he draws a great matchup.
The Cavaliers allow the sixth-most points and fourth-most 3s per game to opposing point guards, according to Fantasy Pros.
Curry has cleared this total in five of 10 games in December while also landing on 22 and 23 points.
He only scored 12 against the Cavs in Cleveland earlier this year but played just 24 minutes in a blowout loss.
Curry still shot 50.0% in that game and has taken north of 20 shots in three of his last four games.
A 4.5-point spread indicates this should be a competitive outing where Curry will be active.
SGP legs
Mobley over 14.5 points (-220): I love the over on Mobley’s 16.5 points total as a standalone play and will happily shave some points off for this SGP.
The fourth-year power forward is averaging a career-best 18.8 PPG and has been on a roll lately:
- 19.9 PPG in December
- 22+ points in 4/5 games
- 15+ points in 10/12 games
Mobley has cleared this mark in five straight and gets a Warriors team with the second-worst midrange defence (46.3%), per Cleaning the Glass.
Cleveland’s power forward does a lot of damage from that area of the court and scored 23 against Golden State earlier this season.
Mitchell under 3.5 threes (-125): Mitchell has been letting loose from deep this month, making 4.2 threes on 9.1 attempts a night (45.1%).
It’s a little scary to fade a player that hot. But this is a big number and Golden State owns the sixth-best 3-point defence in basketball.
Mitchell had one of his worst shooting nights of the season when he last played the Warriors (12 points, 1-of-7 from deep).
He has also gone under this mark in three of four games versus Golden State since joining Cleveland.
Picks made at 11:50 a.m. ET 12/30/2024
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.