Chuba Hubbard and Courtland Sutton headline this week’s NFL prop bets.
The pregame narrative: Hubbard is quietly putting together an elite rushing season and gets the defensively inept Dallas Cowboys. Elsewhere, I like Sutton to keep performing and Justice Hill to clear a modest rushing line in what should be a blowout.
Check out the best NFL Week 15 prop bets for the upcoming games.
NFL Week 15 prop bets
Go to full NFL Week 15 betting markets.
Best bet: Hubbard over 80.5 rushing yards (-115)
This is shaping up to be a smash spot for Hubbard, who has been a bell cow for Carolina this season.
The Edmonton, Alberta native ranks seventh in carries (215) and sixth in rushing yards (1,011) in the NFL. He’s put up some massive numbers against awful defences, too:
- Week 3 vs. Raiders: 21 carries, 114 yards (5.4 YPC)
- Week 4 vs. Bengals: 18 carries, 104 yards (5.8 YPC)
- Week 6 vs. Falcons: 18 carries, 92 yards (5.1 YPC)
- Week 10 vs. Giants: 28 carries, 153 yards (5.5 YPC)
Hubbard is coming off a 26-carry, 92-yard game against the Philadelphia Eagles.
It wasn’t the most efficient performance but the workload was admirable. Philly’s front seven is elite and the same can’t be said for Dallas, which is more comparable to the four teams listed above.
The Cowboys allow the third-most rushing yards per game (141.9) and rank last in RBSDM.com’s defensive EPA per rush.
Key stat: Opponents are averaging 4.8 yards per rush against Dallas.
Quick picks
Sutton over 69.5 receiving yards (-115): Sutton is on an absolute heater right now, logging 70-plus receiving yards in six straight games. Check out his averages in that span:
- 9.5 targets
- 7.0 receptions
- 94.8 yards
The veteran has become the favourite of Bo Nix, who has played himself back into the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year conversation.
Sutton goes up against an Indianapolis Colts team allowing the seventh-most passing yards per game.
Hill over 12.5 rushing yards (-122): I was looking long and hard at the overs on Lamar Jackson’s passing total (216.5) and Derrick Henry’s rushing total (99.5).
But the Ravens — a 16-point favourite as of Thursday afternoon — are primed to blow out the Giants.
I think they will, and that means Hill should get some work in a run-heavy game script.
New York’s front allows the fourth-most rushing yards per game (141.7) at the third-highest yards per attempt (4.9).
And Hill will be live to clear this total even if this game is closer than the spread indicates. Baltimore’s RB2 is 7-5 against this line this year.
Picks made at 3:16 p.m. ET on 12/12/2024.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.