One bet from each of Wednesday’s NBA Cup quarterfinal games forms this +295 parlay.
The pregame narrative: The Golden State Warriors have won 15 straight against the Houston Rockets and I don’t see that streak ending tonight. Elsewhere, back Jalen Brunson to fill the basket against the Atlanta Hawks
Check out the full +295 NBA parlay picks for Dec. 11.
NBA parlay picks
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Parlay: Warriors moneyline + Brunson over 26.5 points (+295)
Warriors moneyline (+110): The last time the Rockets beat the Warriors was on Feb. 20, 2020.
You know, back before COVID and when James Harden and Russell Westbrook were still on the team.
It’s been a while and I can’t see a reversal of fortune tonight. Golden State finds a way whenever it plays Houston and has already logged a pair of wins over the Rockets this season with Curry sidelined.
The Warriors’ sharpshooter is back in the mix tonight and that’s obviously a boon.
It’s worth noting these teams are trending in opposite directions. Golden State is 2-6 in its last eight while Houston is 5-3.
But I can’t overlook this dominant head-to-head history and will role with the Warriors tonight.
Other parlay pick
Brunson over 26.5 points (-112): Brunson’s scoring has taken a dip with Karl-Anthony Towns in the fold but that was to be expected. It also doesn’t mean the all-star point guard has lost his touch:
- 2023-24 (77 games): 28.7 PPG, 21.4 FGA, 47.9% shooting
- 2024-25 (24 games): 25.2 PPG, 17.3 FGA, 49.6% shooting
New York’s frontman has sacrificed a bit of volume but is still shooting nearly 50.0% from the field. He’s not always the go-to guy but can still put up huge numbers with seven 30-point games in 24 starts.
And this feels like a game Brunson should take over.
The Hawks have the seventh-worst midrange defence (43.8%) and Brunson ranks in the 92nd percentile for midrange shooting frequency (45.0%), per Cleaning the Glass.
Picks made at 11:25 a.m. on 12/11/2024.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.