The Los Angeles Chargers aim to steal a win from their divisional rival Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday Night Football.
The pregame narrative: Los Angeles kept it close against Kansas City in its first meeting. I expect the Chargers to bring it again and keep it tight. Secondly, I’m backing the under in a game that features two strong defences. Thirdly, I’m taking the over on Will Dissly’s receiving yards prop in a plus matchup.
Check out my Chargers vs. Chiefs same-game parlay predictions for Week 14 below.
Chargers vs. Chiefs same-game parlay predictions
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Parlay: Chargers +4 + Under 49.5 points + Dissly over 37.5 receiving yards (+370)
Chargers +4 (-110): Anything more than a field goal seems like too much for Kansas City to cover.
The Chiefs are an impressive 11-1 this season, but they’re only 5-7 against the spread. They’ve struggled even more lately, however, as they’ve failed to win by five-plus points since Nov. 4.
Los Angeles has been excellent since playing Kansas City earlier this season. The Chargers had a bye following their 17-10 loss and since then, have won six of eight and covered this number in seven of those contests.
The Chiefs can clinch the AFC West with a victory on Sunday Night Football. I expect the Chargers to do everything they can to spoil the party in primetime.
Other parlay picks
Under 49.5 points (-278): Don’t expect fireworks in a matchup of injured offences.
Kansas City has been missing key pieces all season. The team is missing Marquise Brown, Rashee Rice and Mecole Hardman at wide receiver.
Los Angeles is also dealing with its injury woes. J.K. Dobbins is out and Ladd McConkey is a game-time decision. Those are significant losses on an offence that doesn’t have a plethora of playmakers.
These squads didn’t set off fireworks in their first meeting. They combined for a paltry 27 points in Week 4.
The under has cashed in eight of the Chargers’ 12 contests this season.
Dissly over 37.5 receiving yards (-114): This is the week to target Dissly props.
McConkey’s health is one reason why I like this prop. Even if the star wide receiver plays, it doesn’t seem like he’ll be at full health.
Secondly, Dissly’s involvement in the offence has been steadily increasing. The tight end only had one target and zero receptions in Week 13, but he was heating up before that:
- 16 targets in previous three games
- 13 receptions in previous three games
- 157 receiving yards (52.3 per game)
Finally, the matchup is as good as it gets. Kansas City is ceding the most receiving yards per game to tight ends this season (78.5), according to Yahoo Fantasy.
Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.