Tonight’s NBA prop bets feature Domantas Sabonis, Zach LaVine and Shaedon Sharpe.
The pregame narrative: I like all three players to hit overs that involve scoring points, but the Sabonis pick capitalizes on his talent as a passer, too.
Check out the best NBA prop bets on Dec. 6.
NBA prop bets
Go to full NBA betting markets
Best bet: Sharpe over 16.5 points (-117)
The Portland Trail Blazers are loaded with depth pieces rather than superstars, but in some ways Sharpe is still rising above the pack.
The London, Ontario native suffered a shoulder injury in training camp that caused him to miss the first eight games of the season. After three ramp-up games, he returned to a full workload on Nov. 12.
And from that point on, Sharpe has been the Trail Blazers’ leading scorer, averaging 20.3 PPG in 11 games.
Mind you, five other Blazers are averaging at least 10.0 PPG in that span (minimum eight games played), so the bulk of the scoring could go to a hot hand on any given night.
But based on Friday’s matchup against the Utah Jazz, I think tonight is a nice spot for Sharpe to shine.
- Utah allows the second most PPG to opposing shooting guards (24.6), per Betting Pros.
- Utah allows the second-most attempted 3s per game to its opponents (39.6).
- Sharpe has cashed this line in 7/11 games since returning to a full workload.
Key stat: Sharpe is averaging 16.8 points in his past five matchups against the Jazz dating back to March 2023.
Quick picks
LaVine over 2.5 threes (-130): The highest projected total of the night, by a mile, belongs to the Pacers/Bulls matchup in Chicago (247 points). This is a good way to tap into that matchup.
LaVine is shooting 42.5% from outside, averaging 3.1 makes per night. And he’s been even hotter lately.
- 44.4% 3-point shooting in his past nine games.
- 3+ threes in 7/9 games since Nov. 18.
The Bulls’ second-leading scorer has also cashed this bet in three of his past five against Indiana, averaging 3.2 makes on 8.0 attempted 3s.
Sabonis over 24.5 points/assists (-130): This is a really compelling number for one of the best big men in the game.
Sabonis is averaging 20.8 points and 6.3 assists (27.1 PA) this season. He’s cashed this bet in 14 of 21 games.
Victor Wembanyama might be back tonight for the San Antonio Spurs after sitting out on Thursday, but that doesn’t faze me.
- Sabonis is 4/4 against this line in his previous matchups against Wemby, which includes a pair of matchups this year.
- Since the start of last season, Sabonis is averaging 25.6 points and 7.4 assists vs. San Antonio.
Picks made at 10:13 a.m. ET on 12/06/2024.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.