The Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions kick off Week 14 with a huge NFC North showdown.
The pregame narrative: Both teams are rolling and I’m backing Green Bay to cover an alternate spread in a high-scoring game. Prop bets on Josh Jacobs and Jahmyr Gibbs round out this +360 ticket.
Check out my Packers vs. Lions same-game parlay predictions for Week 14 below.
Packers vs. Lions same-game parlay predictions
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Parlay: Packers +7.5 + Over 46.5 points + Jacobs to score + Gibbs over 49.5 rushing yards (+360)
Packers +7.5 (-220): Could a fully healthy Lions team cover this number? Absolutely. But Detroit is seriously banged up on the defensive end, which shouldn’t be overlooked.
The unit has 13 players on the injured reserve ahead of Thursday Night Football:
The Lions have won 10 straight and have rolled some bad teams in that span.
But they barely escaped with a win on Thanksgiving against the Chicago Bears and also won by just a field goal against the Houston Texans a few games prior.
Green Bay has won seven of its last eight with the only outlier being a loss to Detroit where it out-gained the Lions by 150 yards.
Jordan Love and Co. are in a perfect spot to exact some revenge.
Other parlay picks
Over 46.5 points (-230): Let’s be clear: I’m not putting a stake in the Lions’ season. Far from it, actually.
Detroit’s Super Bowl aspirations are very much alive because of its elite offence. It scores the most points (31.9) and gains the second-most yards per game (395.2).
The Lions are going to light up the scoreboard — I just think the Packers can keep pace.
Green Bay has scored 30-plus points in consecutive games and has the eighth-best scoring offence in football.
Love has also been dynamite in December in his career, throwing for 11 touchdowns to one interception with a 107.4 passer rating (his best of any month).
Jacobs to score (-157): The Packers have been leaning on Jacobs in the red zone lately and the results have been fantastic. Check out his numbers over the last three games:
- 18 red-zone carries (most in NFL)
- Seven rush attempts within the five-yard line (most in NFL)
- Five TDs (most in NFL)
The first-year Packer has been a battering ram near the end zone and has a whopping eight touchdowns in his last six games.
Detroit’s run defence is in shambles right now, so I expect Matt LaFleur to call Jacobs’ number often.
Gibbs over 49.5 rushing yards (-315): Gibbs is in a timeshare with David Montgomery but that hasn’t stopped him from running all over teams.
The second-year back ranks fourth in rushing yards (973) and has cleared this line in 11 of 12 games. He fell under it in Week 1 against the Los Angeles Rams but has 60-plus rushing yards in every game since.
Green Bay’s rush defence is good but not great. Gibbs should blow by this mark if he gets a normal workload.
Picks made at 10:58 a.m. on 12/05/24.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.