I’ve got a four-leg SGP for when the Denver Broncos host the Cleveland Browns on Monday Night Football.
The pregame narrative: A rested Browns team should cover a teased-up spread in what I expect will be a low-scoring affair. Rushing prop bets on Bo Nix and Nick Chubb round out this +335 ticket.
Check out my Browns vs. Broncos same-game parlay predictions for Week 13 below.
Browns vs. Broncos same-game parlay predictions
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Parlay: Browns +10.5 + Chubb over 49.5 rushing yards + Nix over 19.5 rushing yards (+350)
Browns +10.5 (-225): Cleveland isn’t a great team by any stretch but it’s a heck of a lot better with Jameis Winston under centre.
The Browns went 1-6 with Deshaun Watson, failing to score more than 18 points in any of those contests.
Winston is 2-2 with impressive wins against the Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers. The losses both came in blowouts against the New Orleans Saints and Los Angeles Chargers but Winston averaged 315 passing yards in those games while Watson failed to crack 200 in any start.
Denver has been one of the league’s big surprises this year thanks to its stellar defence and Nix’s solid play but I like Cleveland’s chances of keeping this relatively close.
The Browns haven’t played since Nov. 21 and are 7-4 against this spread.
Other parlay picks
Chubb over 49.5 rushing yards (-210): Chubb has clearly lost a step since returning from a brutal knee injury but he still sees a ton of volume and has cleared this line in consecutive games.
The veteran RB turned 20 carries into 50 yards against the Steelers in Week 12 and 11 into 50 against the Saints the week before that.
I’m hoping to see Chubb receive around 15 carries which should be enough volume to clear this line.
Chubb has 73 carries since returning in Week 7 with no other back receiving more than 11.
Nix over 19.5 rushing yards (-115): Nix hasn’t had to use his legs much lately but the rookie can move.
The Oregon product cleared this line in six of his first nine games before logging five total rushing yards in the last three. Two of those games were blowout victories, though, where Nix only attempted a combined three carries.
The Browns can bring pressure with Myles Garrett — who has six sacks in his last three games — coming off the edge. That should force Nix to call his number and bounce things outside.
Cleveland also gives up the ninth-most rushing yards per game to QBs (24.5), according to CBS Sports.
Picks made at 10:58 a.m. on 12/02/24.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.